TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0bb1…daf7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
219
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Asian League, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 63 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT18821.8%41 W · 147 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 188 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.07
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$46.99
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+154.8%+$30.96
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 188 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+4.7wins+0.31per pick29cpaid+95.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
Asian League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+400%+$80
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+400%+$120
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$51.08
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$70.91
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. FC Mito Holly Hock: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. FC Mito Holly Hock: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$17.21
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 15 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saint-Etienne vs. Nice: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Saint-Etienne vs. Nice: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+300%+$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$39.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Molde FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.