TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Paraguay vs. France: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$337,360
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$348,696

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $337,360 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa38a…821dbacked Over11c55,309$6,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,075.9149441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Over17c20,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,399.9942710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1228…a86ebacked Over0c12,499$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.992524%6 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick17cpaid-16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over16c9,291$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,530.121,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over17c7,334$1,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.221,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e63…0857backed Over7c6,912$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.34626.5%4 W · 58 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5041331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over18c4,594$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.828,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over17c2,432$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.411,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over16c2,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.991,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over1c1,720$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.483,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over9c1,707$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.81,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over9c1,580$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.1275335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over19c1,579$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c0a…7fb2backed Over19c1,538$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.132920.7%6 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid+15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over11c1,537$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.1937223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Over16c1,451$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.7432042.2%135 W · 185 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4059…1fecbacked Over3c1,429$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over18c1,227$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.2943826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over17c1,196$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.753,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88ff…5102backed Over18c1,150$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714317.5%25 W · 118 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fb2…5c04backed Over3c1,111$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301612.5%2 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick6cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18017030%51 W · 119 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Over17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17030345.2%137 W · 166 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Over17c999.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17017625%44 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over17c820$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.497742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed Over16c799.99$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12824045.4%109 W · 131 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over17c771.17$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.0272722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over17c754.29$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.2310330.1%31 W · 72 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc61f…35a6backed Over17c680$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.631842.5%135 W · 183 L+0.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5ff…8450backed Over2c626.78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.256016.7%10 W · 50 L-7.3wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-60.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over17c588.53$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020626.2%54 W · 152 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over12c567.09$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.032,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f7…610abacked Over18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006434.4%22 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Over18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019442.3%82 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028224.1%68 W · 214 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7391…5375backed Over19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019938.2%76 W · 123 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c32…9af4backed Over19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Over16c499.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8028945.3%131 W · 158 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Over20c475.1$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0963035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over6c458.33$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.51,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe419…f6c4backed Over18c444.61$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.03616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-69.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over17c432.4$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.0884844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1708…0619backed Over16c406.25$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655534.5%19 W · 36 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over10c403.9$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.391,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over17c399.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6859230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7803…132fbacked Over16c380.94$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9522135.3%78 W · 143 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over15c366.44$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7771638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Over8c366$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2858926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011027.3%30 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over16c347.69$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.632,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb700…5a62backed Over18c346.39$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.359852%51 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Over6c334.44$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.427227.6%75 W · 197 L-0.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…9b5ebacked Over18c333.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605521.8%12 W · 43 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-12%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over13c320$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0871939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68ef…89cabacked Over18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028143.8%123 W · 158 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c5…8964backed Over18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-51.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb309…c345backed Over19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50234.3%1 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick15cpaid-74.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over17c258.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8632837.2%122 W · 206 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b26…8c32backed Over15c253.33$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386418.8%12 W · 52 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e83…5e31backed Over18c250$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4550%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over18c222.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4052217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45af…db0dbacked Over19c199.68$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.942138.1%8 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa187…a526backed Over16c197.5$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.61931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-33.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x340b…3efbbacked Over17c191.29$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.523737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over17c180$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.61,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over16c179.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.031,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked Over19c177.21$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6717047.6%81 W · 89 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb03…fbdebacked Over19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309037.8%34 W · 56 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e95…2bb7backed Over8c152.63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127447.3%35 W · 39 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Over17c141.65$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0877433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over18c136.95$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.051,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over8c134.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7948937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5ac…b255backed Over16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205242.3%22 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea0d…e1c3backed Over17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203729.7%11 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30e7…d258backed Over18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208330.1%25 W · 58 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ca…0d75backed Over17c105.88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184231%13 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cbc…96a6backed Over19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bb1…daf7backed Over19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018821.8%41 W · 147 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe059…daaebacked Over19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011720.5%24 W · 93 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick17cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac68…f1fcbacked Over19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1923845.4%108 W · 130 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x387a…8eaebacked Over19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1932928%92 W · 237 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x11a1…7afebacked Over17c99.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1714043.6%61 W · 79 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x714f…66d5backed Over19c97.37$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.511928.6%34 W · 85 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0684…87a3backed Over18c83.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517231.4%54 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb25…f567backed Over18c71.11$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.84346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14df…0ffbbacked Over19c69.42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.19616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0510…10c4backed Over18c66.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12120%0 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Over17c64.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1112914.7%19 W · 110 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7f5…6d5fbacked Over16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76fd…af65backed Over16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103818.4%7 W · 31 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-48.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ddb…0c47backed Over16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5437…6e45backed Over18c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.654351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.