TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$375,328
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$393,083

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $375,328 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over33c111,137$36,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,516.724,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Under59c34,844$20,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,388.6710056%56 W · 44 L+11.6wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Over42c20,000$8,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,35014232.4%46 W · 96 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Over41c19,000$7,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,789.9814553.8%78 W · 67 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Under59c15,000$8,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,149.9427039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x072f…ffddbacked Under69c11,763$8,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,624.078450%42 W · 42 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x91b9…3ab4backed Under59c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1009645.8%44 W · 52 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under76c10,000$7,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40017842.7%76 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Under59c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,099.9326447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82c1…c2c6backed Under59c9,330$5,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,821.484746.8%22 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under59c8,260$4,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,386.4721333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under59c8,244$4,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,380.0429740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca02…76d3backed Under60c7,845$4,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,170.627835.9%28 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked Under72c7,539$5,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,084.7912454.8%68 W · 56 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under59c5,600$3,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2961,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under58c4,500$2,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,89031851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under59c4,500$2,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,844.9916050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under67c4,406$2,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.953,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Under78c4,369$3,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.8613259.1%78 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over33c4,178$1,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3732,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over25c3,784$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.28,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Over42c3,571$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50025336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over19c3,555$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.282,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over14c3,538$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9441331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over16c3,165$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.163,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b5a…7070backed Under64c2,938$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.825863.8%37 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x09c6…291ebacked Under59c2,823$1,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.368647.7%41 W · 45 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Under60c2,751$1,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.641,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Over42c1,900$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79818929.1%55 W · 134 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over41c1,859$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.1461750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef2…a060backed Under63c1,816$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.2410568.6%72 W · 33 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under59c1,779$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.872,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ef6…20dcbacked Over37c1,757$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6501921.1%4 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc88f…d893backed Under62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.910932.1%35 W · 74 L-9.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under59c1,600$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.953,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ab1…7df3backed Under67c1,500$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4952462.5%15 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick71cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Under61c1,500$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58516633.7%56 W · 110 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf032…895dbacked Under58c1,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6303652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under60c1,500$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.540655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x306d…d9c8backed Under59c1,458$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.632437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Under69c1,436$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.0921937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over34c1,312$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.462,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbcb…c5afbacked Over42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008541.2%35 W · 50 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc33…eb35backed Over42c1,114$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.097157.7%41 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeadf…26efbacked Under64c1,088$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.2412854.7%70 W · 58 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf301…dd70backed Over41c999.97$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.995855.2%32 W · 26 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xedf0…a1d3backed Under59c984.08$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.4121044.3%93 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under74c978.94$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.442,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over42c944.23$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.862,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over34c891.82$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.531,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Under59c867.98$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.879752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44a5…d2eebacked Over18c833.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-51.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under59c783.86$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.393,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Under59c750$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.519750.3%99 W · 98 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf998…13f5backed Under59c711.86$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.8627454%148 W · 126 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked Over41c694.58$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.8312934.1%44 W · 85 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under78c677.64$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.282,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Over15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10054917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Under60c650.78$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.6733245.5%151 W · 181 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Under60c650.78$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.6736543.3%158 W · 207 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9996…bda1backed Over25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506129.5%18 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8953…9b78backed Under75c599.98$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.991275%9 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under59c511.99$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.921,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa177…6e84backed Under59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.471656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Under58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21037754.4%205 W · 172 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a4b…03d6backed Under60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20012545.6%57 W · 68 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed Under62c498$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.7610359.2%61 W · 42 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+22.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8bfd…fb46backed Under59c494.63$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.87444.6%33 W · 41 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Under60c483.38$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.3515950.9%81 W · 78 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaabc…a190backed Over40c450$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1804856.3%27 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over10c445.02$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.331,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb87…a45dbacked Under60c435.68$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.2721146.9%99 W · 112 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8b4…5113backed Under59c433.9$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.91968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb98a…914bbacked Under60c432.67$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.079348.4%45 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb03b…a5dfbacked Under59c423$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.437342.5%31 W · 42 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ade…9951backed Under60c416.67$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.677861.5%48 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under79c413.28$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.562,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1681,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under61c379$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.812,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over41c346.95$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.611,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe86…ec62backed Under60c333.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.812257.4%70 W · 52 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b9a…12a5backed Under71c333$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.577558.7%44 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+76.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bea…a4a9backed Under62c323$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7415335.3%54 W · 99 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Over31c322$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2188852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f7…610abacked Over41c317.07$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1306434.4%22 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5127028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5282…82fcbacked Over20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607044.3%31 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bed…85b8backed Over21c255.26$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2312544.8%56 W · 69 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4216…48d8backed Under59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.247445.9%34 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b5d…cdfcbacked Under59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.245341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under59c254.23$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.2367447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9055…12cebacked Over40c249.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003145.2%14 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x548a…0fc9backed Over41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005437%20 W · 34 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick27cpaid+55.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over6c242.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.542,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7ea…dd4ebacked Over42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002774.1%20 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8cf7…1958backed Under59c237.29$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.2921247.2%100 W · 112 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44bc…ddb3backed Under78c231.97$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.03977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4388…fdbebacked Under59c230$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.32254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+43.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb0…ae93backed Over42c227.26$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.453633.3%12 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+74.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.