TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,743
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,533

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,743 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over8c10,601$858 inLost-$857.663,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Over15c6,667$1,000 inLost-$1,00024917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over1c4,998$50 inLost-$49.9841331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over11c4,091$450 inLost-$45035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over13c3,251$408 inLost-$408.024,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over12c3,121$390 inLost-$390.132,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over15c2,621$393 inLost-$393.0911122.5%25 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over14c1,447$203 inLost-$202.5489443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over14c1,071$150 inLost-$15046223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf639…4a74backed Over14c1,071$150 inLost-$15017322.5%39 W · 134 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over12c1,004$117 inLost-$116.9371939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over14c999.99$140 inLost-$14045421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over15c930.34$140 inLost-$139.551,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over6c599.67$36 inLost-$35.981,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05ae…5a4bbacked Over16c506.25$81 inLost-$8136024.4%88 W · 272 L-0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Over14c499.99$70 inLost-$7045038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7803…132fbacked Over13c467.11$61 inLost-$60.6322135.3%78 W · 143 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3432…4ee4backed Over15c333.27$50 inLost-$49.995020%10 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Over14c327.17$46 inLost-$45.83441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a8…b1f7backed Over15c321.53$48 inLost-$48.2311439.5%45 W · 69 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over15c296.6$44 inLost-$44.492,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over17c295.57$50 inLost-$5024341.2%100 W · 143 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over9c290.82$25 inLost-$24.91,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over6c242.86$15 inLost-$15.551514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over15c199.99$30 inLost-$302,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Over12c182$22 inLost-$21.8432042.2%135 W · 185 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8a5…f089backed Over14c142.86$20 inLost-$205213.5%7 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-48.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd84f…dd03backed Over14c128.57$18 inLost-$188622.1%19 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa47f…4c0cbacked Over14c124.93$17 inLost-$17.491346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over15c94.97$14 inLost-$13.992,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over17c82.35$14 inLost-$1430220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.