TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Paraguay vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,243
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,810

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,243 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under70c8,564$6,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,555.674,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under79c3,269$2,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.154,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Over34c3,259$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10017944.1%79 W · 100 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over40c2,891$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.948,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under69c1,310$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.862,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over52c1,241$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked Under66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34018248.9%89 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Under68c853.19$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.2432042.2%135 W · 185 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under65c833.12$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.262,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Over29c700$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20319823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…032dbacked Over31c638.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012123.1%28 W · 93 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x701e…6137backed Over33c614.71$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.714420.5%9 W · 35 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-37.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb54…8c93backed Over33c602.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005545.5%25 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd169…8ff6backed Over28c544.47$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15517241.3%71 W · 101 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Over31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15545038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x09c1…0ddfbacked Under66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1705549.1%27 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked Under66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17019251.6%99 W · 93 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cc7…0755backed Over4c499.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20348.8%3 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick8cpaid+13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe84a…02febacked Under66c448.31$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.4312056.7%68 W · 52 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under45c413.84$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.6177845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x307a…d612backed Under69c399.97$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.996352.4%33 W · 30 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+36.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x21f7…1b34backed Over33c393.94$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13022436.6%82 W · 142 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2c0…b876backed Over12c380.77$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610532.4%34 W · 71 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdcc…7c07backed Over29c349.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.55745.6%26 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c09…ed31backed Over23c336.66$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4314440.3%58 W · 86 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe4e…d0c6backed Over30c335.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011035.5%39 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over32c317.32$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.341,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9922634.1%77 W · 149 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b00…52eebacked Under32c300$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2047331.5%23 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick21cpaid+58.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x351d…8574backed Over14c299.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4216725.7%43 W · 124 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4740…fa66backed Over32c250$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020325.6%52 W · 151 L+0.5wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Under67c250$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.532044.1%141 W · 179 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5690…7a58backed Under44c242.13$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.598731%27 W · 60 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+35.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xeee0…bf55backed Over32c223.03$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over30c218.33$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.011,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9fd…4f20backed Over24c201.6$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.353627.8%10 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3f…d4bfbacked Under69c199.99$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6215837.3%59 W · 99 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under64c195$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.22,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under64c195$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.22,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Over31c193.55$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6024935.3%88 W · 161 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Over28c167$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.11,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x703e…9828backed Over31c166.49$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.42045%9 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb68c…7ef8backed Over31c162.73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011031.8%35 W · 75 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c4b…bda8backed Over31c161$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504641.3%19 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a51…9c22backed Over19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304852.1%25 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+32.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dec…058cbacked Under68c151.14$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+71.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…a806backed Over26c150$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3913941%57 W · 82 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3900…fb4ebacked Over33c119.67$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4923729.5%70 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed Over31c110$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.823741.8%99 W · 138 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95e9…67b6backed Over30c110$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3316344.2%72 W · 91 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c16…04f7backed Over31c106.45$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3315621.8%34 W · 122 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf96b…9c4cbacked Under57c105.56$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5620553.7%110 W · 95 L+21.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xac5a…1ac8backed Under45c97.46$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.68231.7%26 W · 56 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+42%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under71c93.05$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1542554.4%231 W · 194 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under36c90$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.82,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa86f…6ad4backed Over32c89.06$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.943122.6%7 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-43.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf904…85ecbacked Over34c88.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306230.6%19 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over34c88.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029338.2%112 W · 181 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under67c80.42$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5466056.8%375 W · 285 L+34.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d2b…3f22backed Over34c77.35$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263218.8%6 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-41.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8077…ffefbacked Under22c75.26$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.73935.9%14 W · 25 L+6.7wins+0.17per pick19cpaid+97.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x28c1…ba5fbacked Under68c71.89$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49a1…1c02backed Over31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb696…7973backed Over33c61.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.292317.4%4 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xabfe…dba6backed Over31c61.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199734%33 W · 64 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5380…9592backed Over30c59.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1833847.9%162 W · 176 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b5…34abbacked Over31c58.06$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x11f5…ea34backed Over31c58.06$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1822242.3%94 W · 128 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over25c57.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.32,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under66c54$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.362,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8278…ad93backed Over30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1526344.5%117 W · 146 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62bc…5053backed Over31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.520149.3%99 W · 102 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe68a…5a2bbacked Over31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154436.4%16 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dbf…9701backed Over31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-49.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under64c48$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.283,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa410…f61fbacked Over33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f05…23ffbacked Over33c44.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.526141%25 W · 36 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28a4…434cbacked Over32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick42cpaid-77.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e43…2578backed Under71c29.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.739956.6%226 W · 173 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under68c29.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.381,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5276…800dbacked Under79c25.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3312046.7%56 W · 64 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed Under48c22.91$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.919064.4%58 W · 32 L+11.7wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+38.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Under74c18.48$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7817760.5%107 W · 70 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ad6…eed6backed Under71c17.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1522957.6%132 W · 97 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under68c15.63$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42ce…d2cbbacked Under69c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.658746%40 W · 47 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.