Fifa International · resolved market
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa003ece19135f2b8758b30c113d052cfc0c07b09e86be2b0c8c01beb47fe0ce3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $318,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $387,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $318,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 2c | 37,733$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.4 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…3e33backed Over | 8c | 23,750$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Over | 7c | 10,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 8c | 6,098$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.78 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 5c | 4,502$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.1 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e63…0857backed Over | 4c | 3,871$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.22 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 7c | 3,839$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.75 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 7c | 3,748$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.33 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 7c | 3,644$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.12 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Over | 9c | 3,150$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.5 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 158 | 46.2%73 W · 85 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f82…b06cbacked Over | 8c | 2,813$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 5c | 2,113$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.37 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Over | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +220.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2393…d54dbacked Over | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 176 | 25%44 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 7c | 1,981$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.7 | 360 | 31.7%114 W · 246 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb570…48c4backed Over | 2c | 1,423$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…8220backed Over | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 282 | 24.1%68 W · 214 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Over | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 6c | 999.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 7c | 982.86$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.76 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 6c | 959.83$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 4c | 931.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 7c | 849.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 5c | 827.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Over | 7c | 714.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be7…1bb5backed Over | 8c | 592.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Over | 7c | 585.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd078…e2fbbacked Over | 7c | 535.53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e1…1f14backed Over | 8c | 500.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Over | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Over | 8c | 499.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…d024backed Over | 7c | 480.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 774 | 33.1%256 W · 518 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Over | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…9b5ebacked Over | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9287…0098backed Over | 7c | 355$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 235 | 40.9%96 W · 139 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8981…ce82backed Over | 7c | 350$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 98 | 30.6%30 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed Over | 4c | 325.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 78 | 23.1%18 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Over | 8c | 294.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…ce1ebacked Over | 5c | 242.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…46fbbacked Over | 7c | 230$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb1…daf7backed Over | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 188 | 21.8%41 W · 147 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…9aadbacked Over | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…0088backed Over | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 138 | 26.8%37 W · 101 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…fb40backed Over | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 5.5this page
- Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Paraguay vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Paraguay vs. France: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 0.5Over won
- Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 2.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 0.5Over won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 4.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 6.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 7.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 8.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: Team to AdvanceFrance won
- Paraguay vs. France: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Paraguay vs. France: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: France (-1.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: France (-2.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: France (-3.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: France (-4.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: France (-5.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)France won
- Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)France won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.