TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Score in Second Half

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,528
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,446

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,528 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes23c1,348$305 inLost-$304.878,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed No79c1,050$829 inWon+$22185851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes20c831.02$165 inLost-$165.184,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No77c683.06$526 inWon+$157.11,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8413…5af6backed No78c459.85$361 inWon+$98.882263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed No78c411.17$321 inWon+$90.4132042.2%135 W · 185 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes23c350$79 inLost-$78.882,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes22c299.34$66 inLost-$65.8522634.1%77 W · 149 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No78c281.79$219 inWon+$62.813,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4317…100fbacked No79c260.88$206 inWon+$54.883050%15 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e3…e083backed Yes22c227$50 inLost-$49.941752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked No76c226.5$172 inWon+$54.3634249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb0…9cfabacked Yes23c173.91$40 inLost-$40425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41e2…3ad5backed No77c154.57$119 inWon+$35.297834.6%27 W · 51 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fa5…4f56backed No78c134.62$105 inWon+$29.627656.6%43 W · 33 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a1b…6e41backed Yes22c127$28 inLost-$28.214027.5%11 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes16c113.09$18 inLost-$18.492,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd7…6ceebacked Yes21c111.81$23 inLost-$23.481050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes11c108.08$12 inLost-$11.971,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x980a…315cbacked No78c100$78 inWon+$22580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+73.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa446…7a01backed Yes29c98.14$28 inLost-$28933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-28.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Yes22c91.36$20 inLost-$2037919.5%74 W · 305 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8421…0a8bbacked Yes22c90.91$20 inLost-$202128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-42%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c92…c17fbacked Yes22c90.33$20 inLost-$204814.6%7 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-40.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No74c65.67$49 inWon+$17.042,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ee5…1b27backed Yes23c51$12 inLost-$11.73540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b6f…fe71backed No80c45$36 inWon+$9.157460.8%45 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x789f…3e7dbacked No77c44.51$34 inWon+$10.2414745.6%67 W · 80 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfce…5c3ebacked No79c28.97$23 inWon+$6.088560%51 W · 34 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No78c22.73$18 inWon+$53,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.