TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6b6f…fe71

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
122
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tweets, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 33.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7460.8%45 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.8
Paraguay vs. France: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$19.35
Paraguay vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.25
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$12.15
Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$9.15
Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$22.95
Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.3
Canada vs. Morocco: Canada 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.71
Canada vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7
Canada vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.55
Colombia vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.11
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+79.8%+$11.09
Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
Colombia vs. Ghana: Colombia 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$13.36
Colombia vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$6
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.83
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.64
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+79.6%+$8.86
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$41.8
Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.9
Australia vs. Egypt: Australia 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.75
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Algeria?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland O/U 6.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.2
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT3522.9%8 W · 27 L-9.0wins-0.26per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
MLB — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.49
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.24
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.11
Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.25
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 19.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)backed Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)backed Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+97.4%+$36.31
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 16.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.5
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+279.7%+$55.25
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 15.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.25
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.21
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$27.2
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+65%+$9.85
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.35
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.65
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
Spread: Athletics (-4.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.05
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.25
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.58
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)backed Henan FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-33.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$11.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$27.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set 2 Winner: Mejia vs Zhengbacked Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.