MLB · resolved market
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1ef10785d7c504f78b6784864c2bcb25dc3a623a5da9d30e490c64241f58c4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over | 52c | 5,655$2,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,714.39 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 3,739$1,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.52 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 2,664$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.48 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 48c | 1,308$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.73 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 48c | 1,303$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.44 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…ac88backed Under | 61c | 1,282$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 1,247$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.93 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 1,088$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.51 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under | 47c | 1,057$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 50c | 1,045$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.5 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 23c | 497.66$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.46 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 41c | 422.22$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.93 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Under | 53c | 340$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.2 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c57…e81abacked Over | 57c | 335.18$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.18 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 41c | 265.58$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.3 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 51c | 257.59$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.08 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 53c | 205$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.65 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 60c | 193$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.57 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Over | 51c | 182.45$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.57 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 48c | 181.5$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.12 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Under | 48c | 179.64$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.23 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 43c | 151.44$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.11 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over | 54c | 148.41$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.41 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 48c | 138.23$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.42 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 55c | 136.42$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.64 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 110.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 51c | 95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 65c | 79.28$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Under | 47c | 78.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 35c | 75.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.11 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under | 55c | 71.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 42c | 65.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 53c | 65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 61.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 61c | 55.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 53c | 54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 286 | 39.2%112 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 36c | 52.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 40c | 51.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 40c | 51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 54c | 37.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 51c | 36.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Over | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…fe71backed Under | 32c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -9.0wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Under | 44c | 34.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Under | 45c | 33.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 69c | 32.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 476 | 46.2%220 W · 256 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebd…7fd4backed Over | 42c | 30.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…e64abacked Under | 38c | 30.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Over | 54c | 30.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 45c | 27.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Over | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 38c | 27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2176…bc30backed Under | 49c | 26.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…bf5cbacked Under | 55c | 26.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x326d…3584backed Over | 65c | 25.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -13.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 48c | 24.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff68…8379backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona DiamondbacksMilwaukee Brewers won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 11.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.