TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Milwaukee Brewersof Milwaukee Brewers, Arizona Diamondbacks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,751
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,773

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,751 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks60c11,465$6,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,831.9411,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Milwaukee Brewers46c10,870$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,869.5761351.5%316 W · 297 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Milwaukee Brewers47c9,994$4,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,318.914,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers28c8,306$2,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,963.098,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Milwaukee Brewers46c8,142$3,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,360.162,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks53c6,170$3,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,270.284,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks54c6,000$3,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,24021748.4%105 W · 112 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks53c6,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,179.9944749.2%220 W · 227 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks72c5,518$3,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,965.7210,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de4…a68fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks70c4,188$2,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,931.26540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick69cpaid-47%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Milwaukee Brewers29c4,010$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,839.9812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Milwaukee Brewers70c2,931$2,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.223255.6%129 W · 103 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Arizona Diamondbacks54c2,796$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,508.254,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks54c2,413$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.596,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Diamondbacks55c1,736$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.015,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Arizona Diamondbacks55c1,686$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.5431149.2%153 W · 158 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Milwaukee Brewers29c1,210$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.682636.6%302 W · 524 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Milwaukee Brewers45c1,024$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.22,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Milwaukee Brewers47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5302,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Arizona Diamondbacks44c899$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.464,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Milwaukee Brewers46c652.06$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.118,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00ed…0a9fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks40c552.01$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9110145.5%46 W · 55 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Arizona Diamondbacks55c419.35$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23043459%256 W · 178 L+19.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Milwaukee Brewers44c345.29$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.772,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Milwaukee Brewers28c324.11$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.575,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Milwaukee Brewers49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.1240348.4%195 W · 208 L-18.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Arizona Diamondbacks54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1621,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Milwaukee Brewers36c291.96$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.753,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Arizona Diamondbacks56c281.98$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.056,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Milwaukee Brewers44c225$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12637052.2%193 W · 177 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Arizona Diamondbacks55c218.18$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12038353.8%206 W · 177 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f03…9372backed Milwaukee Brewers46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.393857.9%22 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf462…e35fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks72c212.78$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.2966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Arizona Diamondbacks59c210.86$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.4352228%146 W · 376 L-57.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-38.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Arizona Diamondbacks29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Milwaukee Brewers38c194.88$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.281,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Arizona Diamondbacks54c185.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034942.7%149 W · 200 L-19.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9ae…2103backed Arizona Diamondbacks57c173.32$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.793050%15 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks54c171$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.61,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa69d…228ebacked Milwaukee Brewers42c159.93$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.9619335.8%69 W · 124 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Arizona Diamondbacks51c145.12$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.0121550.2%108 W · 107 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks60c144.5$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1331848.7%155 W · 163 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks53c138.85$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5919752.3%103 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f36…905fbacked Milwaukee Brewers33c130$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.119152.9%101 W · 90 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Milwaukee Brewers34c120$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.235248%169 W · 183 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks10c118.42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.844,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf073…4c15backed Arizona Diamondbacks47c115$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.51040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc23…a9f2backed Milwaukee Brewers44c101$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5646854.5%255 W · 213 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed Milwaukee Brewers44c101$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5672154.2%391 W · 330 L+20.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+144.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Milwaukee Brewers46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5468942.2%291 W · 398 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee84…becbbacked Milwaukee Brewers30c87.6$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3221852.8%115 W · 103 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Arizona Diamondbacks58c86.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.982,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Milwaukee Brewers37c84.07$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.633,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Arizona Diamondbacks61c83.33$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.952,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Milwaukee Brewers45c79.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.842,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5a…9d75backed Milwaukee Brewers26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9210515.2%16 W · 89 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Milwaukee Brewers48c73.92$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.84,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0811…1870backed Milwaukee Brewers46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.221154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Milwaukee Brewers46c65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.331,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eef…5275backed Arizona Diamondbacks78c64.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.012572%18 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick78cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Arizona Diamondbacks75c63.48$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6123240.9%95 W · 137 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Milwaukee Brewers46c60.15$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.652852.1%275 W · 253 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Milwaukee Brewers25c60$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4556440.4%228 W · 336 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Arizona Diamondbacks54c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.473849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Milwaukee Brewers34c50.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.242,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Arizona Diamondbacks65c50.48$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8779255.6%440 W · 352 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Milwaukee Brewers28c50.47$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.091,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29f0…b56fbacked Milwaukee Brewers28c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks41c47.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.651,00058.8%588 W · 412 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Milwaukee Brewers47c46.82$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.813,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Milwaukee Brewers45c42.95$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.622,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Milwaukee Brewers64c40.92$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7929250.7%148 W · 144 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Arizona Diamondbacks44c39.87$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.631,20558.8%708 W · 497 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Arizona Diamondbacks61c39.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.791,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Milwaukee Brewers31c36.63$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.341,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed Milwaukee Brewers44c33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4839250.3%197 W · 195 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Milwaukee Brewers44c31$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4592046%423 W · 497 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b6f…fe71backed Arizona Diamondbacks65c29.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.493522.9%8 W · 27 L-9.0wins-0.26per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x2022…37d9backed Arizona Diamondbacks39c25.88$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.077334.2%25 W · 48 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Milwaukee Brewers48c24.58$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.781,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5587…6d07backed Arizona Diamondbacks64c23.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551656.6%292 W · 224 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdef…7f96backed Arizona Diamondbacks78c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.61060%6 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Arizona Diamondbacks58c19.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4187370.1%612 W · 261 L+91.6wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+14.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Milwaukee Brewers59c18.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.523,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e3e…637cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks71c18.46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.075962.7%37 W · 22 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf5fd…a5c5backed Arizona Diamondbacks70c15.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.