TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x29f0…b56f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$17.21
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.96
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+129.9%+$26.39
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$11.03
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.02
Mexico vs. England: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.41
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.25
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+144.3%+$15.46
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.43
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+83.1%+$13.29
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.91
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.39
England vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.89
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.98
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$10.18
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10.01
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.55
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$6.78
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+215.9%+$31.74
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$4.98
Spread: Canada (-1.5)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$7.57
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.12
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.97
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.35
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$36
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athleticsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.75
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+142.6%+$25.48
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-43.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+108.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+846.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+846.4%+$110.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$5.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.