TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico vs. England: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,501,186
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,528,268

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,501,186 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 550 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over36c111,282$40,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,254.933,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c91,963$52,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,757.134,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6880…cf03backed Over69c72,079$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,0006048.3%29 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+30.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa235…34bbbacked Over61c50,000$30,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,358.52524%6 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-47.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x59ab…1488backed Over69c40,073$27,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,649.79850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under31c31,520$9,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,623.3274752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under35c31,500$10,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,593.3220731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Under37c30,998$11,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,587.7827039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over11c29,814$3,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,327.441,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under59c26,617$15,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,987.32,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under50c26,146$13,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,145.9423353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over45c23,045$10,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,482.011,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under38c16,254$6,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,140.873,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under53c15,829$8,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,495.4437650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over37c15,030$5,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,560.4937223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over13c13,719$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.5151514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Under62c12,950$7,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,952.87545.3%34 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under54c12,650$6,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,782.0119649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Under39c11,438$4,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,964.7614250%71 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a22…7b00backed Over45c11,132$4,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9803467.6%23 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2eb4…3deabacked Over0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102520%5 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x882f…a8c0backed Over52c10,000$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,249.995366%35 W · 18 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+31.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over23c9,243$2,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,163.62,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over28c8,550$2,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,416.1559453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked Over36c8,257$2,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,988.769525.3%24 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under61c8,198$4,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,232.0229740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a6d…33e2backed Over1c8,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110333%1 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick3cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef84…6872backed Over2c8,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301375.1%7 W · 130 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+94.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under43c7,992$3,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,534.5430626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under57c7,648$4,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,289.7515929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over61c7,440$4,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,505.5821722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over56c7,412$4,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,179.4937242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over40c7,256$2,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,874.968,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over43c6,981$3,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,028.4625125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2723…8d2dbacked Over3c6,864$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003125.8%8 W · 23 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick15cpaid+58.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7942…b60bbacked Over3c6,838$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007234.7%25 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+31.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Over45c6,772$3,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,053.2233843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over19c6,666$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.5427345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Over63c6,600$4,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,163.998240.2%33 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over41c6,274$2,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,556.812,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc424…61efbacked Under71c6,035$4,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,779.345048%24 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cd2…7f85backed Over69c5,630$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9003154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over3c5,575$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.5872722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under57c5,520$3,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,384.2519946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3a9…b216backed Over1c5,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70641.6%1 W · 63 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd61…0002backed Over3c5,000$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1356543.1%28 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79e8…8c49backed Under53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,350.162441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab63…8f4bbacked Over19c5,000$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.112634.9%44 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe002…152bbacked Over40c4,965$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+35.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over18c4,945$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.5836539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc93…718bbacked Over1c4,500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60458.9%4 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick2cpaid+214.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over10c4,370$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.281,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Over4c4,150$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.560511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe65e…b719backed Under43c4,040$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,319.9617040%68 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Over50c4,011$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under65c3,695$2,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.031,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over43c3,509$1,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,508.7731545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over3c3,500$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.534125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26f1…6d2fbacked Over53c3,461$1,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,823.127342.5%31 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Over9c3,422$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.425942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dc5…d401backed Over3c3,281$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003125.8%8 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Under55c3,276$1,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.1565036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8630…158bbacked Over66c3,138$2,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,055.6110233.3%34 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under61c3,025$1,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.3825049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over47c3,025$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420.54,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x753d…2ce0backed Over35c3,022$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.84740.4%19 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37ab…cdafbacked Over1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010014%14 W · 86 L+11.0wins+0.11per pick3cpaid+445.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc827…ff0fbacked Over1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011412.3%14 W · 100 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick3cpaid+348.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under34c2,899$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.1544539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf16…464ebacked Over3c2,790$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7112117.4%21 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41c2…b6a5backed Over69c2,736$1,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,874.45248.1%25 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0890…c657backed Over19c2,700$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.57532%24 W · 51 L-0.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68b7…0812backed Over1c2,600$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264922.4%11 W · 38 L+9.0wins+0.18per pick4cpaid+703%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under68c2,539$1,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.8233740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xad2b…2a8ebacked Over1c2,400$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24258%2 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+200%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc11…4b4abacked Over1c2,400$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249910.1%10 W · 89 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick3cpaid+194.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Over19c2,325$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.621,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over66c2,298$1,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,516.3775335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over34c2,196$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.3964446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Over26c2,157$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.3869826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x479b…cdb1backed Over48c2,130$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.35337.7%20 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over6c2,119$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.582,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under65c2,095$1,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.261,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Under66c1,986$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.6745536.9%168 W · 287 L-26.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under62c1,920$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.1222029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over41c1,853$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.341,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e45…5b61backed Over57c1,782$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0106154.1%33 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over68c1,777$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.9921641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over41c1,770$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.81,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Over53c1,761$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.9651032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Under34c1,756$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.5315648.1%75 W · 81 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0da8…28e1backed Over57c1,755$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003212.5%4 W · 28 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick26cpaid-64.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over69c1,747$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cfc…661ebacked Over12c1,717$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.512711.8%15 W · 112 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over27c1,706$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.071,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x742e…99b2backed Over12c1,683$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20623022.6%52 W · 178 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Under53c1,670$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.0416325.8%42 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Over9c1,669$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.4427227.6%75 W · 197 L-0.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Over3c1,613$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019329%56 W · 137 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked Over21c1,600$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34012737%47 W · 80 L-9.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.