TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$370,913
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$368,096

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $370,913 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under72c182,471$131,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,201.694,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over41c39,885$16,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,533.854,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over31c36,614$11,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,283.762,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over10c31,616$3,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,282.431,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over9c17,943$1,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,685.365737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over13c16,220$2,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,098.171,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x20b8…aa04backed Over7c14,500$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0152920.7%6 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over28c12,403$3,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,462.212,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Under70c11,615$8,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,539.0217642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over9c11,416$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.712,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over26c11,330$2,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,960.32,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over23c10,763$2,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,456.692,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Over40c7,042$2,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,834.6631152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over9c5,018$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.352,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9329…035dbacked Over44c4,644$2,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,043.49757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over39c3,864$1,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,513.578,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over6c3,329$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.731,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over9c3,071$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.3836250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf2…326abacked Over52c2,900$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.9911749.6%58 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over19c2,500$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.51,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb02…0f88backed Over9c2,125$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.25224.5%1 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-54.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Over52c2,100$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,09216946.2%78 W · 91 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over29c2,025$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.271,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Over44c1,949$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8507754.5%42 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over45c1,753$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.131,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2888…0fe4backed Over10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505236.5%19 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x27ea…863dbacked Over48c1,390$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.495728.1%16 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf639…4a74backed Over9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017322.5%39 W · 134 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc63e…e611backed Over46c1,093$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004238.1%16 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over7c1,066$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.553,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4520…9182backed Over48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015146.4%70 W · 81 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over41c1,036$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.081,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over43c1,025$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.9887237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over9c998.95$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7372722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over14c900.98$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5959453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b1f…3fd0backed Over45c899.24$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.915837.3%59 W · 99 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under75c833.08$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.721,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over22c827.35$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.012,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Over24c820$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.669826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Over22c800$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17614134.8%49 W · 92 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over8c792.76$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.491,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over44c786.08$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.771,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over35c730.85$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.612,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under78c689.46$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.582,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Under74c687.4$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.061,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x332e…fd5dbacked Over9c666.67$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606018.3%11 W · 49 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-48.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa0e1…b9b4backed Over16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007146.5%33 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1411…631dbacked Over9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507711.7%9 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick9cpaid+54.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4547127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2c0…b876backed Over30c496.04$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.6710532.4%34 W · 71 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over30c494.03$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1482,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbfaa…43e2backed Over21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028134.5%97 W · 184 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf408…afe0backed Over8c466.09$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.294748.9%23 W · 24 L+7.0wins+0.15per pick34cpaid+94.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x308f…35cabacked Over39c454.15$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.668149.4%40 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x284b…f1ddbacked Over29c435.19$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253735.1%13 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over9c427.94$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.942,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over36c411.65$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.781,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2983…59d1backed Under48c379.92$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.564643.5%20 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over8c358$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6432837.2%122 W · 206 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13d0…4a70backed Over11c352$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0332433.6%109 W · 215 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-28.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over54c339.98$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.1958642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb962…45febacked Over30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005435.2%19 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ee5…5e7dbacked Under79c330.2$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.216366.3%108 W · 55 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f15…9dfcbacked Over11c318.75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa573…f034backed Over29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875916.9%10 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-33.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under69c283.43$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9488852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Over50c279$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.534231.3%107 W · 235 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over9c268.96$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.323,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Under63c256$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.7224247.1%114 W · 128 L-1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1120…70adbacked Over60c251.35$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-55.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over45c250.56$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.0473536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over22c227.6$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.532,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under76c217.08$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.542,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under78c204.87$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.341,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a51…f305backed Over58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11618827.7%52 W · 136 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf66b…b1d1backed Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10810348.5%50 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Over26c194.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506643.9%29 W · 37 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe767…9107backed Over52c186.54$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c92…c646backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006050%30 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd91e…a433backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016739.5%66 W · 101 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10051045.3%231 W · 279 L+21.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under74c181.01$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.681,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7950…0e5abacked Over9c177.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.67425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Over41c174.45$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3966932.1%215 W · 454 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Over24c173.56$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.264327.9%12 W · 31 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb4…45d4backed Over59c168.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015461%94 W · 60 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x595e…70c7backed Over52c153.85$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-51.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe3ce…fa8dbacked Over58c150.51$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8823554.9%129 W · 106 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf8…6d0ebacked Over11c140.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514127.7%39 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick28cpaid+18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Under55c137$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1541444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf825…b9ffbacked Under80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258254.9%45 W · 37 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95e9…67b6backed Over54c124.07$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6716344.2%72 W · 91 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under79c123.58$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5342554.4%231 W · 194 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Over9c122.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1119939.2%78 W · 121 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Under73c109.38$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2524759.1%146 W · 101 L+0.6wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over49c106.45$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.162,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed Over10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1018911.1%21 W · 168 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5399…2b4fbacked Over59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7115156.3%85 W · 66 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc3c…b218backed Over22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2211854.2%64 W · 54 L+9.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x119d…bec3backed Over57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020432.8%67 W · 137 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.