TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,906
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,000

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,906 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Over20c1,351$268 inLost-$268.178,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1008…aa9abacked Over70c1,000$700 inLost-$7006219.4%12 W · 50 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over17c640.15$106 inLost-$106.142,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under34c410.44$139 inWon+$270.992,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c04…1844backed Over17c294.12$50 inLost-$5014425.7%37 W · 107 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Under31c281$87 inWon+$194.3334533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over19c249.2$46 inLost-$46.422,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over44c165.54$73 inLost-$72.812,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3432…4ee4backed Over17c117.65$20 inLost-$205020%10 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe73…7d93backed Over19c109.61$21 inLost-$20.711822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-48.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under79c106.57$84 inWon+$22.3834249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc499…f793backed Under80c100$80 inWon+$207843.6%34 W · 44 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Under46c63.54$29 inWon+$34.5241444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over58c61.17$35 inLost-$35.434,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe71c…4987backed Over53c56.17$30 inLost-$304928.6%14 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under66c42.41$28 inWon+$14.431,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under66c40$26 inWon+$13.5973536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Under66c37$24 inWon+$12.5965036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over71c36$26 inLost-$25.581,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over63c35$22 inLost-$22.0522153.4%118 W · 103 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Under66c29$19 inWon+$9.8587237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under68c26$18 inWon+$8.321,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c7f…cb8bbacked Over71c20$14 inLost-$14.21942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.