TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$325,511
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$359,478

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $325,511 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 273 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over67c50,000$33,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,549.012,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under35c49,191$17,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,297.474,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54ce…9f80backed Under34c29,146$9,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,909.589551.6%49 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over67c24,688$16,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,147.152,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under34c12,621$4,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,291.042,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Under33c12,401$4,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,092.4910056%56 W · 44 L+11.6wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over67c11,414$7,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,782.312,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under34c10,118$3,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,439.9970244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under34c10,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,399.9720724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over67c10,000$6,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,299.9523942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under33c9,963$3,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,287.681,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over66c8,848$5,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,008.253,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Under34c8,000$2,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7208943.8%39 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over66c7,444$4,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,495.194,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10d…4ba0backed Under33c7,000$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,309.995740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over67c6,352$4,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,096.311,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over63c6,252$3,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,296.972,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under2c5,569$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over61c5,270$3,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,045.322,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under33c5,168$1,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,705.2946546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over66c3,795$2,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.240655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under38c3,613$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,390.43,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Under33c2,865$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.3347648.5%231 W · 245 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Over66c2,700$1,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.9932642.9%140 W · 186 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Under38c2,086$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.7921937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under33c2,040$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.742,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf2…326abacked Over65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70011749.6%58 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70a6…a2ebbacked Under34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6802259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under36c2,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71030626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under35c1,607$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.394,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dea…e914backed Over66c1,532$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.537360.3%44 W · 29 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc33…eb35backed Over58c1,527$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.497157.7%41 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Over66c1,500$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.993534.3%12 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Over67c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.5410549.5%52 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d2f…4adbbacked Over67c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.545062%31 W · 19 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+29.8%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x7bea…a4a9backed Under34c1,471$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9915335.3%54 W · 99 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over66c1,235$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.258,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under33c1,210$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.325857.4%148 W · 110 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Over67c1,200$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39612740.9%52 W · 75 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70dc…1dfdbacked Over61c1,194$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.134148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under33c1,024$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.921,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33030950.8%157 W · 152 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3301,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf334…af4cbacked Over66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3403956.4%22 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under33c999.94$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.9821957.5%126 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under33c910.39$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.4338026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5630…6ca8backed Over67c876.69$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.527272.2%52 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over58c874.42$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.841,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under33c812.17$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.953,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf21a…4a38backed Over59c800$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3281855.6%10 W · 8 L+4.1wins+0.23per pick33cpaid+0.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Over77c791.63$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.1245145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over66c772.73$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.7316747.3%79 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over65c770$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.551,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3776…e17abacked Under34c755$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.73167.7%21 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+33.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb5db…5800backed Over67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.2710059%59 W · 41 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe881…fb3dbacked Over67c736.27$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.975366%35 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2955…ab27backed Over66c681.82$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.823863.2%24 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+29.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over61c676.16$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.662,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3bb…3661backed Over65c615.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.382352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over67c615.18$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.853,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over63c602.23$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.711,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed Over67c600$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1983568.6%24 W · 11 L+5.8wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+41.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb53e…8617backed Over67c597.01$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.013135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07b4…aedfbacked Over67c597.01$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.014761.7%29 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cf7…1958backed Under34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021247.2%100 W · 112 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over59c561.29$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.792,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under32c518.94$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.061,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Over66c515.15$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.1516965.1%110 W · 59 L+14.6wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under35c503.96$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.681,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Under32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16028945.3%131 W · 158 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under34c499.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17017052.9%90 W · 80 L+13.0wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb1e…05f5backed Under33c484.85$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16070%0 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under33c454.54$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15067447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae34…3a8abacked Over66c453$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.0210270.6%72 W · 30 L+0.5wins0.00per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over71c449.99$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.9773536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa11…f753backed Over67c447.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.761723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-63%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e8e…9665backed Over67c447.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.7628444.4%126 W · 158 L+1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c75…a628backed Over67c447.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.766055%33 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over66c446.96$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.9795739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x077c…98abbacked Over67c444.78$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.7819553.3%104 W · 91 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under34c444.77$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.881,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30dc…768ebacked Over67c425.37$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.375158.8%30 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under21c422.44$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7980225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904a…9193backed Over62c419.35$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.35771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+46.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over66c390$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.5697742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x565c…0ce6backed Over63c380.95$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.951040%4 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under34c325.44$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.051,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Over68c316.18$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9510940.4%44 W · 65 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0aaa…c6e6backed Over66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.033234.4%11 W · 21 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-41.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x47f4…936bbacked Over66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.032965.5%19 W · 10 L+5.7wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+27.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Over66c303$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0234231.3%107 W · 235 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under16c302.75$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.652,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over69c300$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.51,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Over67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9916655.4%92 W · 74 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over69c300$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.51,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over71c300$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.8587237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf663…5654backed Over67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.518037.5%30 W · 50 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5124162.2%150 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b3e…0b87backed Over67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.516968.1%47 W · 22 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f11…e6bbbacked Over67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.511758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.