TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9b3e…0b87

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
120
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 59 out of 100; worst Serie A at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT6968.1%47 W · 22 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$34.12
Norway vs. England: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$38.14
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$31.46
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$27.8
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$301
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$276.92
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$98.51
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$201
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$66.88
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$87.78
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$49.42
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT1384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+40.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Ferencvárosi TC vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+55.7%+$222.68
Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$127.87
Spread: FCI Levadia (-1.5)backed FCI Levadia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$108.28
Spread: Pyunik FA (-1.5)backed Pyunik FA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$201
Will Astana FK win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Astana FK vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+78.4%+$156.73
Will FC Inter Turku win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Will FC Malisheva win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
UMF Stjarnan vs. Víkingur: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$35.68
Will FK Žalgiris Vilnius win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-2.5)backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$73.14
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FK Sutjeska Nikšić vs. Qairat FK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Spread: Larne FC (-1.5)backed Larne FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Will Sabah FK win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+55.7%+$111.88
SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$37.1
Will Kuopion PS win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
FC Flora vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$144.83
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-07-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
Spread: Qairat FK (-1.5)backed Qairat FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$13.16
Villarreal CF vs. FC København: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+44.9%+$27.9
FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+44.9%+$22.38
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.34per pick68cpaid-56.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$73.97
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.