Champions League · resolved market
FK Sutjeska Nikšić vs. Qairat FK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b62eeff6bd28b1b9a371be1638a9b52fcfdceab5e85c8bb687390df26b05d95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 21c | 3,764$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.34 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 2,322$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.97 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 56c | 2,174$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.96 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Under | 39c | 1,665$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.43 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Over | 61c | 1,610$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.14 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 29c | 1,593$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.22 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 43c | 1,095$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.4 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 57c | 975.88$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.25 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 19c | 955.04$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.71 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26f1…6d2fbacked Over | 15c | 883$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.96 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 78c | 783.05$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.49 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Over | 17c | 700$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e68…fcb9backed Over | 6c | 675.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 28c | 499.98$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.99 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Over | 32c | 401.34$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.43 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed Over | 25c | 375.24$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.81 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 30c | 358.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.18 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 23c | 319.65$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.84 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Over | 41c | 317.27$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.18 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 43c | 256$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.92 | 299 | 49.5%148 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Over | 45c | 255$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.87 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…a02dbacked Over | 19c | 246.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Over | 44c | 246.67$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.53 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 27c | 242.24$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.48 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 13c | 193.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 46c | 190$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.44 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -7.9wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…ff88backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3e…0b87backed Over | 57c | 174.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 17c | 156.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 178 | 48.9%87 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Under | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 79c | 148$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.18 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -9.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Over | 54c | 148$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.88 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a96…b71dbacked Under | 71c | 139.16$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Under | 74c | 135.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 9c | 132$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 57c | 118.91$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.24 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 70c | 96.43$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 64.9%74 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 17c | 85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 30c | 82.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Over | 16c | 73.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 29c | 71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 77c | 67.52$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 43c | 50.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc15a…5bd2backed Over | 45c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 58c | 46.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 79c | 46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 69c | 43.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd60…c454backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed Under | 43c | 31.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Under | 42c | 29.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 43c | 29.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 56c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 56c | 20.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…3a5abacked Under | 65c | 20.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Sutjeska Nikšić vs. Qairat FK: O/U 2.5this page
- FK Sutjeska Nikšić vs. Qairat FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Sutjeska Nikšić vs. Qairat FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Sutjeska Nikšić vs. Qairat FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FK Sutjeska Nikšić vs. Qairat FK: FK Sutjeska Nikšić O/U 0.5Under won
- FK Sutjeska Nikšić vs. Qairat FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Sutjeska Nikšić vs. Qairat FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Sutjeska Nikšić vs. Qairat FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Sutjeska Nikšić vs. Qairat FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FK Sutjeska Nikšić (-1.5)Qairat FK won
- Spread: Qairat FK (-1.5)Qairat FK won
- Spread: Qairat FK (-2.5)FK Sutjeska Nikšić won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.