Champions League · resolved market
FK Sutjeska Nikšić vs. Qairat FK: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe61f6dacdde64e39ecbae29bc3499ec46a4bde533881aa69b018a6f8b4506667
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 62c | 4,554$2,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.73 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 43c | 4,085$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.32 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…6039backed Under | 23c | 3,111$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Over | 60c | 2,463$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.92 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 57c | 2,060$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.52 | 450 | 42%189 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Under | 20c | 1,059$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.58 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 20c | 1,032$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.05 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -7.9wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 20c | 1,019$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.78 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Over | 79c | 876.61$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.17 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 42c | 803.35$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.05 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +20.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Over | 79c | 785.34$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.24 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…1688backed Over | 21c | 638.92$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.61 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +5.4wins | +0.45per pick | 38cpaid | +209.1%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 29c | 418.64$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.44 | 433 | 33.5%145 W · 288 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 37c | 352.54$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.15 | 591 | 36.5%216 W · 375 L | -30.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 78c | 316.12$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.9 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 29c | 227$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.83 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Over | 75c | 220.12$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.03 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Under | 33c | 206$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.28 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Under | 19c | 194.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 179 | 7.8%14 W · 165 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 46c | 187$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.69 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 184.45$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.28 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 71c | 183.36$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.36 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…a02dbacked Over | 45c | 176.95$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.95 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 25c | 168.14$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 33c | 156.97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.22 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 30c | 145.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 37c | 141.57$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 19c | 140.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 631 | 50.2%317 W · 314 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 80c | 138.16$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 109 | 63.3%69 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a96…b71dbacked Under | 23c | 136.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 20c | 133.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.92 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 51c | 131.03$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.65 | 704 | 35.8%252 W · 452 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 45c | 115$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.72 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 80c | 100.01$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Over | 48c | 99.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 25c | 68.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 994 | 35%348 W · 646 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 53c | 60.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x923a…e723backed Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 44c | 47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Under | 58c | 42.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 53c | 41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 34c | 36.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 53c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc15a…5bd2backed Over | 35c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 50c | 34.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…a787backed Over | 65c | 30.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 37c | 27.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 426 | 47.9%204 W · 222 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…6674backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Over | 80c | 24.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 46c | 23.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 47c | 21.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Under | 77c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Sutjeska Nikšić vs. Qairat FK: O/U 1.5this page
- FK Sutjeska Nikšić vs. Qairat FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Sutjeska Nikšić vs. Qairat FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Sutjeska Nikšić vs. Qairat FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FK Sutjeska Nikšić vs. Qairat FK: FK Sutjeska Nikšić O/U 0.5Under won
- FK Sutjeska Nikšić vs. Qairat FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Sutjeska Nikšić vs. Qairat FK: O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Sutjeska Nikšić vs. Qairat FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Sutjeska Nikšić vs. Qairat FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FK Sutjeska Nikšić (-1.5)Qairat FK won
- Spread: Qairat FK (-1.5)Qairat FK won
- Spread: Qairat FK (-2.5)FK Sutjeska Nikšić won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.