Champions League · resolved market
FK Sutjeska Nikšić vs. Qairat FK: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd887e8dda58910e7681187d0472e53bdcc9554d20ba526592214f16f136786a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 42c | 754.95$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.87 | 299 | 49.5%148 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 42c | 389.01$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.69 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38bd…b8f3backed Yes | 58c | 345.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 58c | 328.98$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.81 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 43c | 302.92$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.66 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 58c | 237.6$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.87 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 57c | 175$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…3319backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 123.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 57c | 115.07$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.59 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 58c | 103.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.53 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 23c | 103.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked No | 80c | 98.59$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 42c | 96.55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 43c | 93.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.35 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 43c | 88.68$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 57c | 77.24$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…ed90backed Yes | 57c | 72.53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Yes | 58c | 62.81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 42c | 52.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…5ecabacked Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00fd…88dfbacked Yes | 58c | 44.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 43c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Yes | 58c | 31.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 43c | 25.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Sutjeska Nikšić vs. Qairat FK: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FK Sutjeska Nikšić vs. Qairat FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Sutjeska Nikšić vs. Qairat FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Sutjeska Nikšić vs. Qairat FK: FK Sutjeska Nikšić O/U 0.5Under won
- FK Sutjeska Nikšić vs. Qairat FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Sutjeska Nikšić vs. Qairat FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Sutjeska Nikšić vs. Qairat FK: O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Sutjeska Nikšić vs. Qairat FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Sutjeska Nikšić vs. Qairat FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FK Sutjeska Nikšić (-1.5)Qairat FK won
- Spread: Qairat FK (-1.5)Qairat FK won
- Spread: Qairat FK (-2.5)FK Sutjeska Nikšić won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.