TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x186a…559d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,164
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 58 out of 100; worst Valorant at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT44952.8%237 W · 212 L+1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 449 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set 1 Winner: Maria vs Zarazuabacked Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Minaur vs. Tsitsipas: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Set 1 Winner: Minaur vs Tsitsipasbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+72.9%+$36.45
Fils vs. Jodar: Match O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+83%+$41.48
Majchrzak vs. Paul: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.65
Majchrzak vs. Paul: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$14.92
Set 1 Winner: Bucsa vs Kudermetovabacked Kudermetova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Set 1 Winner: Krueger vs Boulterbacked Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Fritz vs. Bergs: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.16
Set 1 Winner: Volynets vs Golubicbacked Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$40.24
Set 1 Winner: Cocciaretto vs Tausonbacked Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$15.44
Assche vs. Blockx: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$19.67
Vukic vs. Bolt: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Set 1 Winner: Rakhimova vs Watsonbacked Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.27
Damm vs. Coppejans: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Henning vs. Wild: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.4
Set 1 Winner: Bondar vs Charaevabacked Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$35.25
Livesport Prague Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Lanlana Tararudeebacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Segovia: Florent Bax vs Paul Inchauspebacked Paul Inchauspe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Hamburg European Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sinja Krausbacked Sinja Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Katarzyna Kawa vs. Paula Badosa: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$32.09
Kawa vs. Badosa: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+75.8%+$37.89
Set 1 Winner: Kawa vs Badosabacked Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+72.2%+$36.1
Kawa vs. Badosa: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Hamburg European Open: Simona Waltert vs Mayar Sherifbacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Showing 25 of 449 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT15553.5%83 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 155 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5)backed Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Spread: Chicago Sky (-1.5)backed Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Spread: Dallas Wings (-11.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-6.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-11.5)backed Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+84.8%+$20.35
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-11.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Dallas Wings (-1.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)backed Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Spread: Indiana Fever (-7.5)backed Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$35.2
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-16.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-15.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+90.6%+$45.32
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 174.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Connecticut Sun vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 178.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$24.41
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-5.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-6.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.35
Las Vegas Aces vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 162.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+89.5%+$31.82
Spread: New York Liberty (-10.5)backed Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$16.21
Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 177.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$26.98
Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 178.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 173.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.87
New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 175.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Stormbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
Showing 25 of 155 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT14659.6%87 W · 59 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 146 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Showing 25 of 146 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT14457.6%83 W · 61 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 144 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$21.6
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+82.5%+$20.91
Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+92.8%+$18.56
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+84.4%+$42.19
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$19.6
Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+83.1%+$41.55
San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Washington Nationals vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+88.1%+$44.03
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astrosbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Washington Nationals vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.4
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$15.06
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 144 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT8960.7%54 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+525%+$168.08
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs ECHO - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.17
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Counter-Strike: Mindfreak vs Ground Zero (BO3) - HyperX & Intel Nationals Playoffsbacked Mindfreak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: paiN vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
Counter-Strike: paiN vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.75
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs ENCE - Map 2 Winnerbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$24.78
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs ENCE (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group Cbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs ENCE - Map 1 Winnerbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group Dbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$15.6
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$14.21
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Valorant: DRX vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
Valorant: BESTIA vs KRÜ Spark - Map 2 Winnerbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: BESTIA vs KRÜ Spark - Map 1 Winnerbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+95%+$47.48
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$26.88
Valorant: la Masia vs Team Solid (BO5) - VCL Brazil: Playoffsbacked Team Solid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs FOKUS (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Playoffsbacked Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked NRG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Valorant: FOKUS vs Twisted Saints Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Group Abacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.87
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs BBL Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Valorant: University War vs 9z Team (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Playoffsbacked University War · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: University War vs 9z Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.79
Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Playoffsbacked KRÜ Spark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs BESTIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked KRÜ Spark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs REBORN (BO5) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked REBORN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs REBORN - Map 2 Winnerbacked REBORN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.78
Valorant: 9z Team vs OXEN (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Seasonbacked 9z Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$147.76
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT2955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FK Sutjeska Nikšić vs. Qairat FK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.43
Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.46
Larne FC vs. Tre Fiori FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Larne FC vs. Tre Fiori FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$21.65
FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
The New Saints FC vs. Sabah FK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$30.44
Inter Club d'Escaldes vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Inter Club d'Escaldes vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$49.98
Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+91.1%+$45.57
Tre Fiori FC vs. Larne FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
FK Borac Banja Luka vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
FK Borac Banja Luka vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.04
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT2955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portland Timbers vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.77
Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Philadelphia Union vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
New York City FC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Portland Timbers vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Nashville SC vs. CF Montréal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
New England Revolution vs. Toronto FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$17.49
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$30.24
St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT2470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: The Bandits vs ZennIT (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Seasonbacked The Bandits · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$158.33
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Top Esports Challenger (BO3) - Asia Masters Last Chance Qualifierbacked Top Esports Challenger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+49%+$48.97
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS (BO5) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winnerbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winnerbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+26%+$20.89
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winnerbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$128.57
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+55%+$55
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+75.6%+$37.81
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+55.9%+$16.77
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Cbacked Partizan Sangal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.67
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.67
All 24 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+36.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BK Hacken vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$284.62
IF Brommapojkarna vs. GAIS: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
IF Brommapojkarna vs. GAIS: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
IF Brommapojkarna vs. GAIS: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
BK Hacken vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
BK Hacken vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
BK Hacken vs. Djurgardens IF: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
IF Brommapojkarna vs. GAIS: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
IF Brommapojkarna vs. GAIS: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Spread: Hammarby IF (-1.5)backed IF Elfsborg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Kalmar FF vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Kalmar FF vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Kalmar FF vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
IFK Goteborg vs. AIK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$25.13
IFK Goteborg vs. AIK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
IFK Goteborg vs. AIK: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 18 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.83
EC Vitória vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
SC Internacional vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Mirassol FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.66
Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Cruzeiro EC vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.2
Fluminense FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Fluminense FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
EC Bahia vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
EC Vitória vs. CR Vasco da Gama: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
EC Vitória vs. CR Vasco da Gama: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
All 15 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)backed Qingdao Hainiu FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$143.9
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-1.5)backed Gwangju FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Gwangju FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Gwangju FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
FC Seoul vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
FC Seoul vs. Incheon United FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeju SK FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 14 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Hive - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ilbirs eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Dota 2: BALU vs Team Syntax - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Syntax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.26
Dota 2: BALU vs Team Syntax - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Syntax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$10.3
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Team Syntax - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ilbirs eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.75
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.85
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$158.14
Dota 2: Execration vs Carstensz (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.15
Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yangon Galacticos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.5
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+66.6%+$199.69
Dota 2: Hokori vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+30%+$149.78
Dota 2: Roar Gaming vs Team Refuser (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Refuser · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$131.71
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe Open Qualifier 2 Playoffsbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.25
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Major League Cricket: Texas Super Kings vs Seattle Orcasbacked Seattle Orcas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.