TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$192,859
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$192,401

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,859 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8d06…7910backed Over66c79,161$51,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,200.41475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under36c22,549$8,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,065.471,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under36c14,136$5,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,040.731342.5%133 W · 180 L-15.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under33c10,299$3,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,348.314250%21 W · 21 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+24.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over23c9,093$2,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,018.945042%189 W · 261 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under63c7,806$4,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,898.021,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over3c7,156$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,938.4688137.7%332 W · 549 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9be0…b5fdbacked Over67c6,518$4,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,142.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Under33c4,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3201442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under63c3,987$2,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50870435.8%252 W · 452 L-27.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under73c3,119$2,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,273.4742647.9%204 W · 222 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7609…6c4ebacked Under32c2,500$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.99520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-75%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under33c2,343$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.044443.2%19 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over68c1,765$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.712360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under46c1,743$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.512039.2%47 W · 73 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Over63c1,565$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.091353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07d8…294abacked Over68c1,479$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-50.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under33c1,467$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.9241553%220 W · 195 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under34c1,375$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.7561447.2%290 W · 324 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Over40c1,308$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.983369.7%23 W · 10 L+5.1wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+44%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9b5d…7501backed Under76c1,269$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.361855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under36c1,200$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4322560%15 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under37c1,200$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4442080%16 W · 4 L+4.6wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+45.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Under15c1,200$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Over3c1,179$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.632240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+107.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a9e…0dfcbacked Over61c1,117$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under36c1,104$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.445143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked Over33c966.87$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.41933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+231.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over67c899.83$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.836628.8%19 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over68c869.39$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.21050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under36c768.02$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.9152046.7%243 W · 277 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under46c753.96$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.4535860.6%217 W · 141 L+21.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under36c694$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.8440250.7%204 W · 198 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under36c694$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.8448947.6%233 W · 256 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc92…8d1dbacked Under77c693.98$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.95922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-61.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under36c693.03$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.6460648.3%293 W · 313 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over21c608.32$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.9314249.3%70 W · 72 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under32c585$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.212250.8%62 W · 60 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under35c578.88$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.53633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under29c559.35$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.4759136.5%216 W · 375 L-30.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Under38c532.68$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.423834.2%13 W · 25 L-6.6wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-37.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under37c520.97$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.6816741.9%70 W · 97 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cb9…a1fabacked Under37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-52.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd0e…cdf0backed Over19c499.99$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.991723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick28cpaid+88.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over35c471.29$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.191838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under34c470$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.2963150.2%317 W · 314 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under79c467.11$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.8637753.8%203 W · 174 L+20.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under36c456$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.163043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under37c449.97$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.8336742.8%157 W · 210 L-22.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Over25c443.91$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.827241.7%30 W · 42 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d47…64eebacked Over48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2081428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Under35c399.69$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.510045%45 W · 55 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xace0…6ccdbacked Under79c397.37$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Under38c394.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under12c362.91$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8110840.7%44 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under66c348.41$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.0199435%348 W · 646 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over34c323.1$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.856056.7%34 W · 26 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+58%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10222452.2%117 W · 107 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over21c300$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2371625%4 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2461…f240backed Over60c299.97$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.991457.1%8 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.23per pick34cpaid+85.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x08fb…8b8bbacked Over67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.51850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…100dbacked Over67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.511154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.121747.1%8 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick64cpaid-31.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over63c288.09$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.3887531.1%272 W · 603 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Over80c285.02$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.93467.6%23 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc13f…c336backed Over48c276$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.52837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under62c273.27$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.3130856.8%175 W · 133 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005554.5%30 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under66c256.16$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.1636248.6%176 W · 186 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under80c250.05$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010249%50 W · 52 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under46c249.98$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.997639.5%30 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under36c240$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.45366%35 W · 18 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under36c240$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.45257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x42fc…a43cbacked Under73c239.69$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.99812.5%1 W · 7 L-4.5wins-0.56per pick68cpaid-84.3%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Over12c224.34$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.171631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under63c220.6$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.43351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under36c217.48$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.296858.8%40 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd4a…1104backed Over68c210$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.21030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-50.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe08c…e03cbacked Over68c205$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.61631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf990…88bcbacked Over33c200$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over16c198.04$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.216160.7%37 W · 24 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Under62c181.94$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.367363%46 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under36c180$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.84257.1%24 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under36c180$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.84156.1%23 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under36c180$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.83461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over66c177.27$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.271457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over19c172.15$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.035530.9%17 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over20c167.39$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.63129%9 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under30c166.44$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4917936.9%66 W · 113 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9311440.4%46 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0da…7f11backed Over67c162.33$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.572100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over38c158.8$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.137660.5%46 W · 30 L+9.8wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+34.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfcb8…067cbacked Under37c158.11$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.751275%9 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+35%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under36c150$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under41c147.52$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9615753.5%84 W · 73 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ef3…b2ddbacked Over68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under76c142.56$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8314645.9%67 W · 79 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c11…bd90backed Over58c141.17$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.29650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b1…4625backed Under38c135.79$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Over55c134.55$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.551040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.