TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$128,698
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,706

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,698 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over41c17,485$7,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,400.191,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under25c15,322$3,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,847.6388137.7%332 W · 549 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under60c7,994$4,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,763.536248.6%176 W · 186 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c6,812$3,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,658.521,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked Over54c5,802$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,652.43933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+231.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad2b…2a8ebacked Under1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37ab…cdafbacked Under1c4,500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over46c4,446$2,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,405.1945042%189 W · 261 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over54c4,108$2,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,902.682360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under46c4,083$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,889.83050%15 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef84…6872backed Under2c4,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90160%0 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a2c…100cbacked Under1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick2cpaid+566.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc93…718bbacked Under1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe08c…e03cbacked Over45c3,000$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6481631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd2…4cb9backed Under1c2,400$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a6d…33e2backed Under1c2,381$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under50c1,898$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.1642647.9%204 W · 222 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over40c1,816$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.1317936.9%66 W · 113 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Over46c1,412$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.357241.7%30 W · 42 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under26c1,298$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.1712039.2%47 W · 73 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over49c1,240$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.7970435.8%252 W · 452 L-27.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under45c993.69$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.6817348%83 W · 90 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under61c847.82$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.042157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f5f…f7aebacked Over50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over49c688.94$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.2316741.9%70 W · 97 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under15c681.55$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.366134.4%21 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2461…f240backed Over56c663.29$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.651457.1%8 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.23per pick34cpaid+85.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under23c653.76$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.7759136.5%216 W · 375 L-30.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Under64c621.02$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over42c434.79$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.185623.2%13 W · 43 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x474a…a275backed Over48c415.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.991145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e8…0153backed Over72c415.78$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.422100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under51c392.15$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004645.7%21 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under23c388.34$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.8710840.7%44 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81f8…4078backed Under62c380.54$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.51050%5 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+45.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over49c380$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.81625%4 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over23c370.83$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.5499435%348 W · 646 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under39c365.4$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.216033.3%20 W · 40 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.981747.1%8 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick64cpaid-31.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Under46c336.5$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.113930.8%12 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-32.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x50b0…cdf7backed Over43c329.7$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+131.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf06f…11f3backed Under64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.7wins-0.34per pick52cpaid-71.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under56c310.86$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.8130856.8%175 W · 133 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under16c309.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1436742.8%157 W · 210 L-22.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over36c300$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1921020%2 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-52.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad31…1c1dbacked Over34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under58c259.93$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.992060%12 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+25.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under11c254.02$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.635530.9%17 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under19c253$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.311952.1%62 W · 57 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc374…cee1backed Over42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.11050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96f4…32e8backed Over43c230.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.672100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over36c228.23$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.0731342.5%133 W · 180 L-15.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over71c208.68$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.835143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd684…7e92backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over45c200$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.26160.7%37 W · 24 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over55c189.97$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.496761.2%41 W · 26 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x990e…cecfbacked Under55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Over51c172.8$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.82646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e76…dac6backed Over51c172.41$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3d0…2fefbacked Under61c163.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.111258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b99…8f62backed Over30c160.17$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.171450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over51c160$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1414645.9%67 W · 79 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Over70c160$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481968.4%13 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x660e…76ccbacked Over35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.864042.5%17 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+27.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x42fc…a43cbacked Under57c140$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8812.5%1 W · 7 L-4.5wins-0.56per pick68cpaid-84.3%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under53c140$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.243351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked Under16c129.41$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.711225%3 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+214.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Under20c120.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4510045%45 W · 55 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8877…1fa6backed Over42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Over54c118.35$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.187363%46 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over36c111.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.111936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7403…b24abacked Under60c109.49$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.893751.4%19 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc37…3ed8backed Over80c105$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a88…3dadbacked Under43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b42…7cbebacked Over47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a8e…05a4backed Under65c94.41$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.831747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcaea…5795backed Under47c93.65$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.931533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over49c92.84$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.713548.6%17 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9287…0098backed Under16c90$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.13122.6%7 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb5a…0994backed Over59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.752100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+141%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over60c83.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.421457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under45c83.2$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.446752.2%35 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Over65c81$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.533444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under16c79.45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5352046.7%243 W · 277 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb4b…5bedbacked Under80c75$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over68c75$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.028645.3%39 W · 47 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over49c72.82$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.984332.6%14 W · 29 L-7.9wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-40.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Under15c68.03$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.151797.8%14 W · 165 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Under30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Over44c66.14$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.843158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7482…a8f7backed Over50c62$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+128.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over53c60.66$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7310051%51 W · 49 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Over30c59$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.482045%9 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+44%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Over44c54.55$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.555135.3%18 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under36c52$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.497356.2%41 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252020%4 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-57.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xef67…3b16backed Over51c49.22$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.