TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,887
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,934

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,887 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over4c4,498$160 inLost-$159.571,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x671e…2536backed Under78c538.89$421 inWon+$118.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over22c405.94$89 inLost-$89.4344647.3%211 W · 235 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over10c303.44$30 inLost-$30.341,02135.3%360 W · 661 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd4a…1104backed Over26c219.99$57 inLost-$57.21030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-50.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe08c…e03cbacked Over26c216$56 inLost-$56.091631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Under75c70.7$53 inWon+$17.67666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over25c60.83$15 inLost-$15.0488631.7%281 W · 605 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under74c60.74$45 inWon+$15.795257.7%30 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under76c54.93$42 inWon+$1343252.3%226 W · 206 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Under77c21.74$17 inWon+$514942.3%63 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under77c15$12 inWon+$3.457356.2%41 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x147c…2540backed Under77c14$11 inWon+$3.222755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.