Champions League · resolved market
Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce57398b96384f372ba1da701770225849b072d6fdbbc167c717c231431e7fdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 4,590$2,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.37 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe00e…ea73backed Under | 51c | 3,907$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 32c | 2,431$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.43 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 74c | 2,291$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.34 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42f0…7eb6backed Under | 14c | 1,800$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…e4fabacked Under | 14c | 1,600$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +247.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 80c | 1,255$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.18 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16e…43afbacked Over | 40c | 1,212$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.85 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +231.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Under | 27c | 1,025$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.3 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over | 38c | 923.14$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.2 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…cd44backed Under | 11c | 900$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Over | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c84…f6fcbacked Under | 15c | 700$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +250.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x474a…a275backed Over | 80c | 627.05$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…4078backed Under | 20c | 476.71$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 20c | 470.34$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.27 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef87…e853backed Under | 70c | 347.5$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.31 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 300.38$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.52 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 78c | 286.41$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.07 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 22c | 226.79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.51 | 631 | 50.2%317 W · 314 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4a…1104backed Over | 58c | 198.62$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 13c | 159.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 426 | 47.9%204 W · 222 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 24c | 158.06$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…004dbacked Under | 10c | 146.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe08c…e03cbacked Over | 58c | 112.61$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.32 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 51c | 105.01$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…42f2backed Over | 57c | 104.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 24c | 96.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.04 | 875 | 31.1%272 W · 603 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…f414backed Over | 35c | 93.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe68d…a292backed Over | 77c | 78.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ef…b630backed Over | 45c | 74.76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…bf2ebacked Under | 55c | 72.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 39cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Over | 57c | 71.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa7…1e46backed Under | 61c | 70.46$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf61…1e34backed Under | 52c | 70.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaae0…3616backed Over | 44c | 65.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Over | 22c | 51.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 55c | 50.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 994 | 35%348 W · 646 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…1688backed Over | 52c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +5.4wins | +0.45per pick | 38cpaid | +209.1%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Under | 41c | 30.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8303…722cbacked Over | 70c | 27.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38d8…78c9backed Under | 58c | 25.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: FK Sutjeska Nikšić O/U 0.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: FK Sutjeska Nikšić O/U 1.5Under won
- Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: O/U 0.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: O/U 1.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: O/U 2.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: O/U 4.5Under won
- Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: O/U 5.5Under won
- Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: Qairat FK O/U 0.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: Qairat FK O/U 1.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: Qairat FK O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: FK Sutjeska Nikšić (-1.5)Qairat FK won
- Spread: Qairat FK (-1.5)FK Sutjeska Nikšić won
- Spread: Qairat FK (-2.5)FK Sutjeska Nikšić won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.