TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,799
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,274

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,799 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under58c249.98$144 inWon+$105.9938142.8%163 W · 218 L-22.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x474a…a275backed Over45c245.02$110 inLost-$1101145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under57c226.68$129 inWon+$97.9122552%117 W · 108 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Over48c222.6$107 inLost-$106.853834.2%13 W · 25 L-6.6wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-37.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under52c209.99$109 inWon+$100.86959.4%41 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5323…326abacked Over48c208.33$100 inLost-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under68c152.01$103 inWon+$49.31,02135.3%360 W · 661 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over43c146.91$63 inLost-$63.3163346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over41c130.94$53 inLost-$53.3488631.7%281 W · 605 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under53c122.98$65 inWon+$57.5965050.2%326 W · 324 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under80c120.13$96 inWon+$24.091,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over11c103.64$11 inLost-$11.191,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Over41c95.12$39 inLost-$393253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+34%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b42…7cbebacked Over47c89.56$42 inLost-$42.091450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9a2…42f2backed Over22c88.93$20 inLost-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-45.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09c4…50a1backed Over50c83.98$42 inLost-$41.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf04…90b5backed Over39c82.94$32 inLost-$321513.3%2 W · 13 L-3.9wins-0.26per pick39cpaid-70.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under57c68$39 inWon+$28.952046.7%243 W · 277 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under62c67.65$42 inWon+$25.3830656.9%174 W · 132 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51fc…ed09backed Over45c55.56$25 inLost-$25944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda89…0ed5backed Over44c34.09$15 inLost-$15560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under78c20$16 inWon+$4.473351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Under65c16.92$11 inWon+$5.923246.9%15 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.