TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: Qairat FK O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,893
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,567

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,893 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Under57c734.32$421 inLost-$421.0999435%348 W · 646 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc13f…c336backed Over51c599.97$306 inWon+$293.99837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c555.06$277 inLost-$276.841,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc09b…1478backed Over39c384.62$150 inWon+$234.621030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under28c325.78$91 inLost-$90.9960648.3%293 W · 313 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Over39c307.69$120 inWon+$187.693655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29bf…e7e0backed Over71c305.32$218 inWon+$87.32580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+56.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f5e…980bbacked Over78c293.39$230 inWon+$63.31933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under23c249.99$57 inLost-$56.636742.8%157 W · 210 L-22.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe341…0053backed Over41c224.37$92 inWon+$132.38250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf9d…ee2dbacked Over72c139.58$100 inWon+$39.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under21c113.39$24 inLost-$23.814250%21 W · 21 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+24.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under29c100$29 inLost-$2922452.2%117 W · 107 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under29c100$29 inLost-$29.3329858.4%174 W · 124 L+17.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a4c…6047backed Over72c69.44$50 inWon+$19.44683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick71cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed Over76c65.79$50 inWon+$15.792857.1%16 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over40c49.98$20 inWon+$29.993560%21 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7482…a8f7backed Over39c46.38$18 inWon+$28.292100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+128.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3968…85b5backed Over52c30.36$16 inWon+$14.681376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.27per pick50cpaid+66.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over73c26.43$19 inWon+$7.0287531.1%272 W · 603 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under48c25$12 inLost-$123351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under49c21.73$11 inLost-$10.6530856.8%175 W · 133 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Under51c19.8$10 inLost-$10.151764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.