TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x29bf…e7e0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst Mls at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$227.86
France vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$231
France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$289
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$54.12
Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$600
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$245.16
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$138.86
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$268.54
Spain vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,177Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$963
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$613.36
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$629.33
Norway vs. Senegal: Norway O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$595Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+111.9%+$665.92
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$227
Spread: Uruguay (-2.5)backed Uruguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$248
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$322.24
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$138.06
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$281
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$301
Silkeborg IF vs. FC København: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$245.45
Silkeborg IF vs. FC København: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
FC København vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Aarhus GF vs. Brøndby IF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Kalmar FF vs. Malmo FF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$169.15
Viking FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$135.41
Djurgardens IF vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.99
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$176
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$262
SK Brann vs. IK Start: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$225
Malmo FF vs. IFK Goteborg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Moreirense FC vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.14
Sporting CP vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+137.6%+$265.62
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Tromsø IL vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
All 16 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-24.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$282.46
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$234.67
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$239
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.57
Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$69.23
Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$57.35
Girona FC vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.03
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-64.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+56.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$105.88
Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$22.83
Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.92
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$253
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$242
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.