Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SK Brann win on 2026-08-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f9f1903a398875a2e3cca7a8ea7c1d650343329f513cc45392e86254a52aabe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Yes | 2c | 4,551$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.71 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 18c | 2,832$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.52 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 13c | 2,289$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.44 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 1,936$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.14 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 49c | 1,890$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.01 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Yes | 16c | 1,199$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.84 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 9c | 1,086$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.77 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…28c5backed Yes | 15c | 612.87$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.93 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 14c | 544.24$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.34 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…e7e0backed Yes | 54c | 474.63$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 36c | 454.58$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.12 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…54ffbacked Yes | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x026d…47edbacked Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 7c | 299.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 146 | 30.1%44 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 25c | 230.95$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.7 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +15.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…2fc0backed No | 49c | 198.04$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd422…7e43backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 15c | 126.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d23…53d3backed Yes | 16c | 122$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 24c | 106.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 49c | 98.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 14c | 79.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73a7…1f07backed Yes | 14c | 77.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 55c | 69.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Yes | 17c | 66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 44c | 61.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 45c | 59.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 58c | 52.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 62c | 50.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 51c | 39.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc91d…6416backed No | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked No | 70c | 14.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Brann win on 2026-08-20?this page
- Will PAOK vs. SK Brann end in a draw?Yes won
- Will PAOK win on 2026-08-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.