Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will PAOK vs. SK Brann end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21642d64e0492f9172fa8444e9a462b51dffd7d6a4fe01732054546b74a3100d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 65c | 1,613$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.71 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed No | 70c | 1,315$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.8 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 30c | 1,085$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.11 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 32c | 895$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.63 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 736.38$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.95 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…b719backed Yes | 23c | 346$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.42 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 23c | 325.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.3 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 25c | 193.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.23 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 75c | 187.29$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.32 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed No | 68c | 187.25$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 178.64$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.98 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 32c | 156.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.88 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…01e5backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…c1f1backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 70c | 98.06$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed Yes | 30c | 95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.45 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 22c | 90.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.64 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 21c | 69.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 29c | 65.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 21c | 64.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed No | 80c | 43.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 65cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…cee8backed No | 77c | 26.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…9e24backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 75c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 78c | 16.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc91d…6416backed No | 76c | 16.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 67c | 16.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PAOK vs. SK Brann end in a draw?this page
- Will PAOK win on 2026-08-20?No won
- Will SK Brann win on 2026-08-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.