Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabfd6ff8cca5eac52ff3f97042968f5c038fbb7ab58d48e2c66d4279dd640897
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 58c | 22,889$13,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,255.69 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 14,291$8,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,860.17 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 50c | 11,359$5,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,688.29 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 44c | 7,747$3,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,338.27 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 45c | 7,692$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,242.26 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 7,204$3,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,152.22 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 23c | 5,590$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.42 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 58c | 4,140$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 42c | 3,685$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137.39 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Over | 49c | 3,047$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 76c | 2,112$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.4 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 42c | 1,564$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.8 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Under | 60c | 1,388$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.36 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 72c | 1,385$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.47 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 23c | 1,309$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.12 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…e7e0backed Over | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Under | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed Under | 64c | 937.5$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 41c | 804$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.39 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 16c | 599.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 146 | 30.1%44 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 23c | 577.43$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.81 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 42c | 459.03$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.37 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Under | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 58c | 374.88$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.31 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 42c | 319.53$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.33 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 60c | 281.81$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.62 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 40c | 271.2$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.65 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 60c | 253.4$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.17 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 56c | 251.79$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 56c | 249.14$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.52 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Under | 55c | 247.85$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.19 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x026d…47edbacked Under | 44c | 240$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 60c | 214$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.36 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ee…3240backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 39c | 196.34$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.76 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 53c | 186$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 53c | 180.87$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.14 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 60c | 174.96$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.72 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 35c | 150$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.06 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 77c | 149.76$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 57c | 137.91$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.82 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 11c | 136.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 83 | 16.9%14 W · 69 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 25c | 119.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Under | 61c | 114.76$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.21 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 41c | 98.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.22 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 56c | 93$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 56c | 93$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Under | 40c | 76.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.83 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 43c | 66.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 22c | 63.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…601abacked Over | 48c | 60.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -66%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 76c | 59.04$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over | 60c | 48.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9347…3674backed Under | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 53c | 47.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 57c | 46.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 48c | 45.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 88 | 69.3%61 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0de…4257backed Over | 35c | 42.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -73%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 64c | 40.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed Under | 49c | 35.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.4wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed Under | 40c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Under | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 62c | 32.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 43c | 29.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Over | 56c | 28.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 40c | 27.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 57c | 26.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 67c | 22.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Under | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Over | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Over | 56c | 19.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0617…08d9backed Under | 54c | 18.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: FC Inter Turku O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: FC København O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: FC København O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: FC København O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Inter Turku (-1.5)FC København won
- Spread: FC København (-1.5)FC Inter Turku won
- Spread: FC København (-2.5)FC Inter Turku won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.