TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9a34…a28b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
229
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT7356.2%41 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.41
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.86
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)backed Aarhus GF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.18
Will SK Rapid Wien win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9.02
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+98.1%+$15.18
Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$6.65
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+102.7%+$12.68
Will Górnik Zabrze win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$18.75
Will PAOK win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.83
PAOK vs. SK Brann: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-2.5)backed Beşiktaş JK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$11.75
Will Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.77
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$35.81
Exact Score: Beşiktaş JK 3 - 0 FK Kauno Žalgiris?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.78
Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$10.14
Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+112.3%+$28.66
Spread: Trabzonspor (-1.5)backed Ferencvárosi TC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$13.1
Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+30%+$20.65
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.42
Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+102.3%+$67.24
Spread: KKS Lech Poznań (-1.5)backed FC Thun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.44
Spread: KKS Lech Poznań (-2.5)backed FC Thun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.23
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$18.36
Beşiktaş JK vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+83.9%+$13.92
KKS Lech Poznań vs. FC Thun: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.19
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT4436.4%16 W · 28 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-41.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.11
ITF M25 Lesa Men: Lorenzo Comino vs Pierluigi Basilebacked Lorenzo Comino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.02
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keysbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.86
ITF W35 Verbier Women: Anastasija Cvetkovic vs Mara Guthbacked Anastasija Cvetkovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$23.31
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Benjamin Hassanbacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.15
Prague 2: Jan Kumstat vs Filip Jianubacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.68
ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Camilla Zanolini vs Weronika Ewaldbacked Weronika Ewald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$17.94
ITF W75 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Women: Luna Vujovic vs Samira De Stefanobacked Luna Vujovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$8.94
Roehampton: Anton Matusevich vs Oliver Tarvetbacked Oliver Tarvet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$31.47
ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Jessica Pieri vs Marie Mettrauxbacked Jessica Pieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$10.2
ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Maria Sara Popa vs Adrienn Nagybacked Maria Sara Popa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.05
ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women: Rinko Matsuda vs Ya Yi Yangbacked Rinko Matsuda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+77%+$184.54
Cancun: Alan Magadan vs Coleman Wongbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$19.43
ITF M15 Maanshan 7 Men: Isaac Becroft vs M Rifqi Fitriadibacked Isaac Becroft · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.39
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$10.94
Cancun: Roman Safiullin vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.93
Cincinnati Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Jessica Pegulabacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.71
Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullainbacked Michael Geerts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.64
ITF W35 Erwitte Women: Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Milena Steinkampbacked Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$42.59
ITF M15 Asuncion 2 Men: Maxwell Exsted vs Santiago De la Fuentebacked Maxwell Exsted · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+68.7%+$17.34
ITF M25 Ueberlingen Men: Mika Petkovic vs Carlos Giraldibacked Mika Petkovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$10.94
Prague 2: Norbert Gombos vs Radu Mihai Papoebacked Norbert Gombos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$65.91
Sion: Benjamin Hassan vs Geoffrey Blancaneauxbacked Geoffrey Blancaneaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.32
ITF W75 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Women: Lisa Zaar vs Sofya Lanserebacked Sofya Lansere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
ITF M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 Men: Semen Pankin vs Drazen Petrovicbacked Drazen Petrovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.73
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2544%11 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+110.5%+$26.14
Exact Score: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC 1 - 1 Ulsan HD FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.26
Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.77
Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$19.7
Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$15.28
Al Hazem SC vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.32
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$15.26
Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Al Riyadh Saudi Club O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.16
Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.05
Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.71
Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$29.15
FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$5.35
FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.16
FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.03
Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.75
Will FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.76
Spread: FC Tōkyō (-1.5)backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.09
Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$10.16
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.48
Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.07
Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.96
Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: V-Varen Nagasaki O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.97
Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.61
Spread: Kashiwa Reysol (-1.5)backed V-Varen Nagasaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.53
Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Hilal Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.4
All 25 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.78
Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.14
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.17
Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+255.9%+$176.82
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$73.72
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.49
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.98
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+244.4%+$46.49
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$55.48
Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 1 - 2 Leeds United FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+121.6%+$16.84
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.18
Spread: Millwall FC (-1.5)backed Millwall FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+376.8%+$142.81
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$242.97
Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.37
Arsenal FC leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.78
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+171.2%+$71.83
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Coventry City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.59
All 18 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.58
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.32
Will Club León FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.28
Botafogo FR vs. CS Cienciano: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$9.54
Botafogo FR vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.29
Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5)backed Botafogo FR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Botafogo FR vs. CS Cienciano: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+69.2%+$14.78
Botafogo FR vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+97.3%+$59.18
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+131.7%+$266.85
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.39
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Rosario Central: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$18.14
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Rosario Central: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.39
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$55.03
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Rosario Central: SC Corinthians Paulista O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$6.11
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.08
LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$18.66
Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.32
All 18 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Elche CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.64
Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.04
Spread: Athletic Club (-2.5)backed Athletic Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$384.03
Córdoba CF vs. Girona FC: Girona FC O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.65
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.42
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.78
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.03
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.1
Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.69
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$33.51
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.17
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$41.13
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$5.52
Deportivo Alavés leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.55
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+113.1%+$14.68
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$117.65
All 17 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+75.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick42cpaid-66%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-53.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFLlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raiders vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.