TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,638
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,750

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,638 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes47c3,021$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,601.281872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+44.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes26c2,400$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,77610636.8%39 W · 67 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes47c2,304$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.3943439.6%172 W · 262 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No52c2,138$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.2811849.2%58 W · 60 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No52c1,929$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.2663757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes49c1,789$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.8319133%63 W · 128 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7652744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d2…399bbacked No17c1,471$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes48c1,014$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.0812050%60 W · 60 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed No53c999.99$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.992147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No56c999.98$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.9911723.1%27 W · 90 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No53c959.07$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.1739338.9%153 W · 240 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No64c776.76$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.684,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes44c765.25$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.7298833.4%330 W · 658 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fba…fd69backed No17c684.03$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.29333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+177.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No55c658.98$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.621,03547.9%496 W · 539 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No56c641.85$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.461,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No54c541$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.371,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed No55c458.81$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.346259.7%37 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4416160.9%98 W · 63 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b0e…8ba9backed Yes30c433.33$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed No52c425$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2212733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-39.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad19…a7adbacked Yes49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.162860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+39.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes42c402.9$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.9719840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1df…16c1backed Yes78c384.6$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.632560%15 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbeee…43a6backed Yes44c350.05$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.38650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes47c349.06$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1855651.8%29 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60b1…8e7dbacked No53c344.06$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.92138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No52c340.63$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.814951%76 W · 73 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb697…5d0cbacked No52c317.31$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No54c312.17$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.5712061.7%74 W · 46 L+12.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+29.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No54c308.22$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.5269350.9%353 W · 340 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No54c291.84$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.8668050.4%343 W · 337 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes43c272$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.047741.6%32 W · 45 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked No18c267$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.712733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes48c248.64$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.642326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-41.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked No54c224.34$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.041662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.086962.3%43 W · 26 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.082937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x38bd…b8f3backed Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.08633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes48c199.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1048245.1%37 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fe4…70c1backed Yes43c199.98$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.991338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes44c191.58$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.0411242.9%48 W · 64 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8718…ff8cbacked No53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No54c166.74$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.281,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a46…c6a0backed Yes48c162.13$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.86875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5fc7…443fbacked Yes49c150$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.1742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Yes47c146.81$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.814153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No56c135$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.689050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes40c129.23$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1859555.5%330 W · 265 L+31.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No56c128.36$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.13,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked No54c121.05$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3714425.7%37 W · 107 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Yes46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.83171%22 W · 9 L+6.3wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+35.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed Yes43c106.66$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.8728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76e9…e991backed No67c105.96$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Yes49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.042356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed No54c100.56$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.516267.7%42 W · 20 L+6.8wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518355.4%46 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe70…7533backed No55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4c6…f5c0backed Yes49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Yes43c99.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5716142.2%68 W · 93 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed No52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Yes48c93.75$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.753751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No53c87.89$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7575051.3%385 W · 365 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Yes47c86$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7615260.5%92 W · 60 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ba9…2210backed No56c80.36$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c1…dc25backed Yes47c76.5$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No55c75.63$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.371,55951.6%804 W · 755 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5de3…3ad2backed Yes40c74.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.992254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No56c67$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5221254.2%115 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes26c64$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3641351.8%214 W · 199 L+17.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce74…e6ecbacked Yes40c62.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.642751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Yes47c62.49$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1210055%55 W · 45 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Yes48c61.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.162240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x73fb…c7afbacked Yes49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.22560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed No51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.62548%12 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa443…1826backed Yes42c59.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Yes42c58$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.894035%14 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-41.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f8f…aebfbacked No52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+25.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes50c57.6$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.89354.8%51 W · 42 L+9.6wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+28.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xed6c…4eb1backed Yes52c57.42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.42633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc95e…a9cbbacked Yes26c56.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79f5…79c7backed Yes45c53.82$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5005…08afbacked Yes54c53.43$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.43955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes47c52.08$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.63063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No55c51.11$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.065651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca1…fc25backed Yes47c51.05$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc96b…b045backed Yes49c51$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.01955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.518653.8%100 W · 86 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.55147.1%24 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed No56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281782.4%14 W · 3 L+4.3wins+0.25per pick57cpaid+46.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7285…3273backed No52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3744324.2%107 W · 336 L-49.5wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No51c44.94$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9217447.1%82 W · 92 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa069…262ebacked Yes48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff2a…3319backed Yes48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.67650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9347…3674backed Yes48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.67450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed No55c39.46$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.76445.3%29 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes32c37$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.027642.1%32 W · 44 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No52c36.54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.