TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8b0e…8ba9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 62 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT3327.3%9 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick33cpaid+3.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Fuego vs Zeu5 Esports (BO5) - LRN Playoffsbacked Fuego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Game Handicap: DNS.C (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (+1.5)backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.08
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.75
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$413.81
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$146.67
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$864.29
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.15
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$148.92
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+258%+$260.23
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$836.96
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.25
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs TLN Pirates (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$442Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$198.59
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+4.8wins+0.25per pick28cpaid+289.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$133.85
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$367.63
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$225
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$176.19
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$210
Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$266
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+4,803.8%+$1,152.91
Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Riyad Mahrez: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Breel Embolo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$92.86
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$97.5
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$596Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$178.1
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$516.52
All 19 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+94.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Philadelphia Union 2 - 3 Inter Miami CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)backed Inter Miami CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.