TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Switzerland?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,417,725
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,425,410

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,417,725 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd49f…4507backed Yes2c271,109$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.9712210.7%13 W · 109 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes2c173,259$4,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,157.22,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes2c115,234$2,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,783.558,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes2c34,594$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.8478317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes2c31,134$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.0856410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes2c30,852$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.6129916.7%50 W · 249 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes3c23,198$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72625124.7%62 W · 189 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f9c…93edbacked Yes1c19,094$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick18cpaid-90.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22b2…be32backed Yes2c16,000$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3682119%4 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes2c13,281$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.1272722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…ae2abacked Yes3c12,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002913.8%4 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Yes2c9,652$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22214219.7%28 W · 114 L-0.5wins0.00per pick20cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes2c7,884$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.4527520.4%56 W · 219 L+1.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdbe…595dbacked Yes3c7,615$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002544%11 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9f2…b4ebbacked Yes2c7,600$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.820725.6%53 W · 154 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82a0…33a1backed Yes0c7,064$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.551279.4%12 W · 115 L+0.4wins0.00per pick9cpaid-50.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d6f…4997backed Yes3c7,010$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023513.2%31 W · 204 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+52%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2179…bedbbacked Yes2c7,000$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154355.7%2 W · 33 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-83.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40a7…dcdebacked Yes1c6,529$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.46735.5%4 W · 69 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick1cpaid+212.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f0…0cf1backed Yes3c5,909$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501155.2%6 W · 109 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes2c5,626$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.8975729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3654…be88backed Yes3c5,362$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.26277.4%2 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick7cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa553…789dbacked Yes3c5,228$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.7519517.9%35 W · 160 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-35.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes2c5,200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11814119.9%28 W · 113 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-28.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3415…1fb1backed Yes2c4,625$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111557.3%4 W · 51 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-51.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes1c4,625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.194,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes2c4,386$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.535514.4%51 W · 304 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb450…e79cbacked Yes2c4,348$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005034%17 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e42…49edbacked Yes2c4,300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.93212.5%4 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-81.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7fd1…e502backed Yes2c4,260$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005617.9%10 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+113.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59a5…06c0backed Yes2c4,067$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10090%0 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6517…1c7ebacked Yes2c4,004$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-84.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4ed…00a1backed Yes3c4,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009139.6%36 W · 55 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes2c3,500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7027811.9%33 W · 245 L-1.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfa6…bfd5backed Yes3c2,720$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681739.2%16 W · 157 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Yes2c2,533$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8838329.8%114 W · 269 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e5…e6adbacked Yes2c2,512$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.787810.3%8 W · 70 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick8cpaid+58%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Yes2c2,499$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.474822.9%11 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-39%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes2c2,439$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.51,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe3f…abe7backed Yes4c2,428$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007910.1%8 W · 71 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes2c2,325$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.86729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b35…4a36backed Yes2c2,292$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551756.3%11 W · 164 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4123…4954backed Yes2c2,273$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012024.2%29 W · 91 L-0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes2c2,240$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.981,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e7…3a36backed Yes2c2,223$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011915.1%18 W · 101 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a8…4d27backed Yes2c2,217$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5112712.6%16 W · 111 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-57.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36b3…fc6cbacked Yes3c2,174$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6028528.8%82 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f61…8687backed Yes2c2,159$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013511.1%15 W · 120 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ae…31bcbacked Yes2c2,083$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502924.1%7 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick21cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a1f…ce01backed Yes2c2,083$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50745.4%4 W · 70 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick7cpaid+19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ede…385abacked Yes2c2,053$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.22100%0 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d08…0a33backed Yes2c2,025$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-54.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes2c2,019$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4435110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae4…7084backed Yes3c2,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013453%71 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x930b…2479backed Yes3c2,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5648…a6c4backed Yes2c1,986$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452078.2%17 W · 190 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes2c1,948$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3665737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1c…f4b1backed Yes3c1,889$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.22896.7%6 W · 83 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-1.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc05a…532bbacked Yes2c1,819$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8313424.6%33 W · 101 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x935d…9404backed Yes2c1,739$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015719.1%30 W · 127 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9227…44bebacked Yes3c1,714$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.858714.9%13 W · 74 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes2c1,667$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4048526.8%130 W · 355 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6e7…dc64backed Yes2c1,667$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40738.2%6 W · 67 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-47%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b0…588fbacked Yes4c1,661$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7021321.1%45 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68f3…6753backed Yes2c1,532$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.72825%7 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+148%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x11cd…71cbbacked Yes2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30170%0 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b5e…4e0cbacked Yes2c1,364$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024344.4%108 W · 135 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccdb…2feabacked Yes2c1,309$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30150%0 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01b9…50dcbacked Yes2c1,268$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017115.2%26 W · 145 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes2c1,250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd31…1252backed Yes2c1,250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019411.9%23 W · 171 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes2c1,248$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.051,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes3c1,245$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5287938.6%339 W · 540 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1fb…5e7bbacked Yes3c1,200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-46.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x045c…3977backed Yes3c1,200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305422.2%12 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x586b…646cbacked Yes2c1,100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2653.1%2 W · 63 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid+61.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00dd…5215backed Yes2c1,087$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513615.4%21 W · 115 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+73.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66bb…cd52backed Yes2c1,087$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2533123.6%78 W · 253 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b5b…4a17backed Yes2c1,087$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2523124.7%57 W · 174 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes2c1,081$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5653920.6%111 W · 428 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5718…d232backed Yes2c1,042$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516013.8%22 W · 138 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35fb…4ce5backed Yes2c999.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2313112.2%16 W · 115 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55a3…ff09backed Yes2c916.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225625%14 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa97d…3874backed Yes2c909.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010318.4%19 W · 84 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-32.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b0e…8ba9backed Yes2c909.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201952.6%10 W · 9 L+4.8wins+0.25per pick28cpaid+289.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x103e…f7b7backed Yes2c894.55$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2112811.7%15 W · 113 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+50.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes1c893.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.52,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x63f3…ebc0backed Yes2c869.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2026424.6%65 W · 199 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0463…61f3backed Yes2c869.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208316.9%14 W · 69 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick14cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Yes2c869.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2072424.7%179 W · 545 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9785…2419backed Yes2c858.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.881565.8%9 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes2c854.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8156022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd02…302cbacked Yes2c843.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20130%0 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc90…da40backed Yes2c837.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204010%4 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3bc…03efbacked Yes2c833.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208716.1%14 W · 73 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8c6…1462backed Yes2c833.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031119.3%60 W · 251 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3d1…61c7backed Yes2c809.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.24160%0 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Yes2c782.61$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1822919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00e8…0039backed Yes3c769.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20806.3%5 W · 75 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-39.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05fe…358bbacked Yes2c760.74$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1811520%23 W · 92 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.