Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Switzerland?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaff00a04f44c737ad9a2688b8ef2897f12886c98eb7bedd0d474215d0c75e7af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $284,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $263,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $284,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes | 7c | 111,111$7,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777.77 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 6c | 26,046$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.73 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 6c | 18,248$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.96 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 6c | 18,087$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.22 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 7c | 11,406$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.36 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf381…40c2backed Yes | 7c | 6,651$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.57 | 180 | 27.8%50 W · 130 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef84…6872backed Yes | 2c | 3,355$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.55 | 137 | 5.1%7 W · 130 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 6c | 3,004$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.41 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 6c | 2,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 6c | 2,322$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.3 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…19b8backed Yes | 6c | 2,294$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21e7…4041backed Yes | 8c | 2,052$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 126 | 6.3%8 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43e3…43f7backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 232 | 30.2%70 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 6c | 1,893$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.58 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 6c | 1,830$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.81 | 357 | 19.6%70 W · 287 L | -13.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,686$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 339 | 15.9%54 W · 285 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…60b6backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f88…0724backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4e…bd80backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5b…1dcdbacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,341$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.48 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc67c…5047backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a64…0ee6backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0918…7363backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 5c | 677.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…b85dbacked Yes | 8c | 623.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…a0d3backed Yes | 6c | 588.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 279 | 9.7%27 W · 252 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…1a94backed Yes | 6c | 583.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 193 | 24.4%47 W · 146 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb22f…8339backed Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50e…15c7backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ee…9a18backed Yes | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 58 | 1.7%1 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -86.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Yes | 6c | 499.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90fe…b7b8backed Yes | 6c | 480.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 7c | 456.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed40…e2f4backed Yes | 7c | 452.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…6cebbacked Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 152 | 17.1%26 W · 126 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf369…8283backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 259 | 37.5%97 W · 162 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 300 | 11.3%34 W · 266 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0060…5dd4backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 173 | 12.7%22 W · 151 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2331…a794backed Yes | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 118 | 28.8%34 W · 84 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Yes | 7c | 404.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 190 | 38.9%74 W · 116 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…1fddbacked Yes | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd13…aa48backed Yes | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 7c | 398.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…ee54backed Yes | 7c | 394.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad86…b39ebacked Yes | 6c | 383.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7c…2d36backed Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 373 | 20.9%78 W · 295 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b73…4218backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…7ff9backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 248 | 37.1%92 W · 156 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 6c | 300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 298 | 13.8%41 W · 257 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5c…dd58backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b9…50dcbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 171 | 15.2%26 W · 145 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fb…2b82backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0165…902bbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f7…e578backed Yes | 7c | 270.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe976…e235backed Yes | 7c | 263.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2223…d227backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1497…4414backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Yes | 6c | 249.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x801f…24a6backed Yes | 6c | 216.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 171 | 15.2%26 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 6c | 215.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ee…e85dbacked Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59cb…0c53backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 423 | 32.9%139 W · 284 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Yes | 6c | 210$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 248 | 25.8%64 W · 184 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c3…8bb2backed Yes | 6c | 200.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 136 | 10.3%14 W · 122 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34b…ffa3backed Yes | 6c | 183.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 6c | 179.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d82…c734backed Yes | 7c | 171.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 81 | 12.3%10 W · 71 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 6c | 170.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa982…09f1backed Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +197.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Switzerland?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Switzerland?Yes won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Switzerland?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.