TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb22f…8339

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
305
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: CS2, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 51 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT16919.5%33 W · 136 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 169 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$1,466.67
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.64
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,763Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,763.39
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$133.85
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$146.67
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$1,486.64
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$133.85
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$888Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$887.89
Showing 25 of 169 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT10341.7%43 W · 60 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 103 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nongshim RedForce Win KeSPA Cup 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.89
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+89.8%+$89.8
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+99%+$197.95
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$77.78
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+113.7%+$227.38
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+167.2%+$167.24
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.98
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.74
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$14.08
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 103 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$235.29
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$235.71
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$316.67
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$176.19
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+207.2%+$207.21
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Taylor Townsend vs Belinda Bencicbacked Taylor Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Istanbul 2: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Daniil Ostapenkovbacked Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Warsaw: Linda Klimovicova vs Elizara Yanevabacked Linda Klimovicova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Hagen: Thiago Monteiro vs Tom Gentzschbacked Tom Gentzsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+68%+$67.99
National Bank Open: Xinyu Wang vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Istanbul 2: Tuncay Duran vs Antoine Ghibaudobacked Tuncay Duran · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
National Bank Open: Diane Parry vs Kayla Daybacked Kayla Day · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$163.73
Istanbul 2: Ilia Simakin vs Gabi Boitanbacked Ilia Simakin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+79%+$158
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Fares Zakaria vs Daniil Glinkabacked Fares Zakaria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Samsun: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Gabriel Debrubacked Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 11 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 168.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.