TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-In

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NIPof NIP, Heroic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$442,795
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$502,864

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $442,795 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 377 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x79ae…9a4abacked NIP51c56,362$28,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,760.6914145.4%64 W · 77 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73e3…1be9backed Heroic49c48,844$23,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,933.7520354.2%110 W · 93 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Heroic50c19,897$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00016443.9%72 W · 92 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked NIP51c13,725$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,725.4919229.2%56 W · 136 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa307…03d0backed NIP48c11,395$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,895.481637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked NIP50c8,592$4,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,296.045,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked NIP66c8,463$5,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,865.3563157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed NIP49c8,000$3,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,049.9966851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Heroic48c7,962$3,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,822.7759839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Heroic13c7,333$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.42,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed Heroic51c6,851$3,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,472.6117554.9%96 W · 79 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed NIP50c6,500$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,25084958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed Heroic50c6,032$3,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,016.198951.7%46 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27c5…6d61backed Heroic50c5,717$2,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,858.596934.8%24 W · 45 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Heroic50c5,618$2,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,803.9542142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe816…1b93backed NIP53c5,616$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,615.551546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked NIP36c5,373$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,452.832348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed NIP55c5,359$2,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,423.531,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67ce…100fbacked NIP38c5,331$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,331.089753.6%52 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed NIP50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50037946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Heroic53c4,189$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20016946.7%79 W · 90 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Heroic67c4,156$2,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,784.7519949.7%99 W · 100 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c13…71a1backed NIP53c4,137$2,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,942.733545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba03…0486backed Heroic50c4,135$2,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,086.573545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed NIP33c3,853$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,581.3937646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x31a1…1227backed NIP50c3,733$1,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,884.48560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+32.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98d5…2ec4backed NIP61c3,689$2,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,456.831747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Heroic49c3,442$1,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,677.773,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Heroic51c2,751$1,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,410.7740542%170 W · 235 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Heroic46c2,519$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1641,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Heroic49c2,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.9771645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Heroic50c2,486$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,232.2135940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x07c2…b18dbacked Heroic50c2,300$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.212138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+45.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8359…5944backed Heroic47c2,153$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.7469732%223 W · 474 L-46.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3724…69b5backed NIP51c1,879$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.277943%34 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked Heroic19c1,789$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.930223.2%70 W · 232 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9929…15a8backed Heroic43c1,777$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.1117163.7%109 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked NIP51c1,750$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.511546.1%53 W · 62 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Heroic55c1,679$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.4538650.8%196 W · 190 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Heroic45c1,649$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.123243.5%101 W · 131 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Heroic55c1,585$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.3561837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Heroic67c1,554$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.432,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Heroic49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7351,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd47c…39b5backed NIP60c1,494$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.055054%27 W · 23 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+25.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Heroic45c1,490$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.6161034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Heroic26c1,472$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.572,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Heroic49c1,450$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.4975245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x088b…21ccbacked Heroic53c1,437$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.75650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+56.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Heroic50c1,426$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.122,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Heroic38c1,389$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.143,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed NIP50c1,327$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.2746555.1%256 W · 209 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc57…2b3cbacked NIP53c1,321$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.7514659.6%87 W · 59 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x307a…d612backed NIP34c1,300$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8523046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Heroic49c1,267$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6211,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Heroic2c1,261$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2132832.3%106 W · 222 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed NIP50c1,201$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.122,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Heroic45c1,188$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.6634848.3%168 W · 180 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe821…3128backed Heroic59c1,178$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002763%17 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Heroic48c1,140$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.462,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc28c…76e4backed NIP37c1,100$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6922832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91b9…889fbacked Heroic53c1,089$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5742646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Heroic52c1,069$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.718741.4%36 W · 51 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Heroic52c1,059$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.384,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed NIP73c1,028$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.2819061.6%117 W · 73 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b0e…0517backed NIP49c1,026$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.682236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Heroic39c1,025$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.6415251.3%78 W · 74 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed NIP50c1,020$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.2159755.4%331 W · 266 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5901…63a2backed NIP46c1,007$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.897041.4%29 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78df…f002backed NIP53c1,002$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.832100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Heroic47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47011638.8%45 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked NIP49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51081244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed Heroic44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44025142.6%107 W · 144 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed NIP39c999.99$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61020949.3%103 W · 106 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed NIP39c998.17$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.1714362.9%90 W · 53 L+11.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked NIP51c931.72$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.7263541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7e3…22cbbacked Heroic55c880.54$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.113438.2%13 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Heroic51c857$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.0720743%89 W · 118 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Heroic67c824.4$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.8762248.2%300 W · 322 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd052…563dbacked NIP61c815.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.272466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Heroic49c808.16$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40038841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x145b…5f8fbacked Heroic74c805.38$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.112157.1%12 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb93…e1d3backed NIP64c800$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2882556%14 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Heroic39c783.4$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.224,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked Heroic53c779.1$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.8214147.5%67 W · 74 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa949…7f5bbacked Heroic67c761.19$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51022243.7%97 W · 125 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Heroic50c750$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3751,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6840…6003backed Heroic40c746.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008361.4%51 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a9a…a9c7backed NIP37c738.11$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.579241.3%38 W · 54 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13c8…a814backed NIP41c731.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.719951.5%51 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked Heroic48c725.82$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.3935744.3%158 W · 199 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Heroic52c711.53$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.193,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked Heroic44c700$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30816240.1%65 W · 97 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed Heroic49c697.22$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.647754.5%42 W · 35 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed NIP59c691.61$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.6416542.4%70 W · 95 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed NIP50c670$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3355,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c7…4332backed Heroic40c668.63$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.4517644.3%78 W · 98 L-17.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic44c661.73$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.696,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Heroic46c652.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30038454.2%208 W · 176 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1614…0bedbacked NIP50c642.22$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.89837.8%37 W · 61 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d87…a82bbacked Heroic50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005244.2%23 W · 29 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.