CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-In
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x650a854d7c90efc0de7ee09f3059fd65348bd98c9c414d21e4c66c21e16d16e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof NIP, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $442,795
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $502,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $442,795 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 377 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked NIP | 51c | 56,362$28,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,760.69 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed Heroic | 49c | 48,844$23,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,933.75 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Heroic | 50c | 19,897$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…decabacked NIP | 51c | 13,725$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,725.49 | 192 | 29.2%56 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…03d0backed NIP | 48c | 11,395$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,895.48 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked NIP | 50c | 8,592$4,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,296.04 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked NIP | 66c | 8,463$5,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,865.35 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed NIP | 49c | 8,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,049.99 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Heroic | 48c | 7,962$3,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,822.77 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Heroic | 13c | 7,333$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.4 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Heroic | 51c | 6,851$3,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,472.61 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed NIP | 50c | 6,500$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed Heroic | 50c | 6,032$3,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,016.19 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed Heroic | 50c | 5,717$2,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,858.59 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Heroic | 50c | 5,618$2,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,803.95 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe816…1b93backed NIP | 53c | 5,616$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,615.55 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked NIP | 36c | 5,373$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,452.8 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed NIP | 55c | 5,359$2,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,423.53 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ce…100fbacked NIP | 38c | 5,331$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,331.08 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed NIP | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Heroic | 53c | 4,189$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Heroic | 67c | 4,156$2,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,784.75 | 199 | 49.7%99 W · 100 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…71a1backed NIP | 53c | 4,137$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.73 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba03…0486backed Heroic | 50c | 4,135$2,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,086.57 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed NIP | 33c | 3,853$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,581.39 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…1227backed NIP | 50c | 3,733$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d5…2ec4backed NIP | 61c | 3,689$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.83 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Heroic | 49c | 3,442$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.77 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Heroic | 51c | 2,751$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.77 | 405 | 42%170 W · 235 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Heroic | 46c | 2,519$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Heroic | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.97 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Heroic | 50c | 2,486$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.21 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07c2…b18dbacked Heroic | 50c | 2,300$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.21 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Heroic | 47c | 2,153$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.74 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed NIP | 51c | 1,879$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.27 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked Heroic | 19c | 1,789$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.9 | 302 | 23.2%70 W · 232 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9929…15a8backed Heroic | 43c | 1,777$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.11 | 171 | 63.7%109 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked NIP | 51c | 1,750$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.5 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Heroic | 55c | 1,679$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.45 | 386 | 50.8%196 W · 190 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Heroic | 45c | 1,649$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.1 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Heroic | 55c | 1,585$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.35 | 618 | 37.9%234 W · 384 L | -22.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Heroic | 67c | 1,554$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.43 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Heroic | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd47c…39b5backed NIP | 60c | 1,494$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.05 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Heroic | 45c | 1,490$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.61 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Heroic | 26c | 1,472$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.57 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Heroic | 49c | 1,450$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.49 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x088b…21ccbacked Heroic | 53c | 1,437$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Heroic | 50c | 1,426$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.12 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Heroic | 38c | 1,389$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.14 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed NIP | 50c | 1,327$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.27 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked NIP | 53c | 1,321$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.75 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x307a…d612backed NIP | 34c | 1,300$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Heroic | 49c | 1,267$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Heroic | 2c | 1,261$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed NIP | 50c | 1,201$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.12 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Heroic | 45c | 1,188$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.66 | 348 | 48.3%168 W · 180 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe821…3128backed Heroic | 59c | 1,178$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Heroic | 48c | 1,140$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.46 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…76e4backed NIP | 37c | 1,100$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…889fbacked Heroic | 53c | 1,089$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Heroic | 52c | 1,069$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.71 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Heroic | 52c | 1,059$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.38 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed NIP | 73c | 1,028$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.28 | 190 | 61.6%117 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed NIP | 49c | 1,026$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.68 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Heroic | 39c | 1,025$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.64 | 152 | 51.3%78 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed NIP | 50c | 1,020$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.21 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…63a2backed NIP | 46c | 1,007$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.89 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78df…f002backed NIP | 53c | 1,002$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Heroic | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked NIP | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Heroic | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed NIP | 39c | 999.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed NIP | 39c | 998.17$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.17 | 143 | 62.9%90 W · 53 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked NIP | 51c | 931.72$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.72 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e3…22cbbacked Heroic | 55c | 880.54$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.11 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Heroic | 51c | 857$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.07 | 207 | 43%89 W · 118 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Heroic | 67c | 824.4$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.87 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd052…563dbacked NIP | 61c | 815.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.27 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Heroic | 49c | 808.16$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x145b…5f8fbacked Heroic | 74c | 805.38$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.11 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb93…e1d3backed NIP | 64c | 800$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Heroic | 39c | 783.4$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.22 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Heroic | 53c | 779.1$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.82 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…7f5bbacked Heroic | 67c | 761.19$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Heroic | 50c | 750$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6840…6003backed Heroic | 40c | 746.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…a9c7backed NIP | 37c | 738.11$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.57 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13c8…a814backed NIP | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Heroic | 48c | 725.82$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.39 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Heroic | 52c | 711.53$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.19 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Heroic | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 162 | 40.1%65 W · 97 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Heroic | 49c | 697.22$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.64 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed NIP | 59c | 691.61$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.64 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed NIP | 50c | 670$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed Heroic | 40c | 668.63$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.45 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic | 44c | 661.73$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.69 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Heroic | 46c | 652.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 384 | 54.2%208 W · 176 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…0bedbacked NIP | 50c | 642.22$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.8 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…a82bbacked Heroic | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inthis page
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic - Map 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.