TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8a9a…a9c7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
251
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT9241.3%38 W · 54 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 92 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$55.71
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.75
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.7
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$109
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+122.7%+$122.67
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic - Map 2 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.84
Counter-Strike: B8 Academy vs STATE (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group Abacked STATE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$91.66
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Leo Team (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+133.3%+$126.64
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stagebacked NEW VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$692Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$692
Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group Bbacked Passion Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Counter-Strike: WBT vs Leo Team (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+124.1%+$124.09
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs BORRACHEIROS (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs UNiTY esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked UNiTY esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.1
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Misa Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Group Dbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$820Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$820
Counter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs 3DMAX Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group Abacked 3DMAX Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Group Abacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.27
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group Dbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+267.8%+$535.58
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$601Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+152%+$913.28
Counter-Strike: Voca vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.82
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs Honvéd (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stagebacked Honvéd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$129
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs SPARTA (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Playoffsbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$691Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$691
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,011Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+227.4%+$2,299.04
Showing 25 of 92 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT6835.3%24 W · 44 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.82
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+525%+$147.37
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+400%+$120
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.94
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.64
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.9
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+379%+$221.36
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.42
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+85.3%+$84.43
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$36.75
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$130.9
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: LOS vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$455.88
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$222.89
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$121.33
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.56
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$427
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.8
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$388
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.67
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.99
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+525%+$374.12
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.41
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+112.7%+$102.37
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$298
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$53.67
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$879.73
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,961Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,960.69
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+211.4%+$550.63
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Bbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Level UP (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Bbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.32
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Valentin Royer vs Tommy Paulbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.44
Lexington: Sebastian Gorzny vs Borna Gojobacked Borna Gojo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallobacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$87.65
National Bank Open: Donna Vekic vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$128.17
National Bank Open: Sara Bejlek vs Iga Swiatekbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Canadian Open: Sebastian Baez vs Mattia Belluccibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$569Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$569.48
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Mathys Erhard vs Olaf Pieczkowskibacked Olaf Pieczkowski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
National Bank Open: Michael Zheng vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+124.5%+$560.73
Livesport Prague Open: Lilli Tagger vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Lilli Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+212.7%+$729.62
Hamburg European Open: Elina Avanesyan vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$52.47
Zug: Max Hans Rehberg vs Anton Matusevichbacked Anton Matusevich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$450.22
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 13 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: TYLOO vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.18
Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs Karmine Corp GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked Karmine Corp GC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$215.59
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$961Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$495.29
Valorant: Cloud9 vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$965Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$965
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,290Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,290
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Pcific Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,499Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$789.65
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$258
Valorant: Trace Esports vs TEC Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked TEC Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$684Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$523.95
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+34.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.01
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+111.4%+$16.34
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.05
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+238.3%+$28.79
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Aldosivi end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+31%+$89.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.