TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Misa Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Group D

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZ NXTof MOUZ NXT, Misa Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$304,281
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$314,113

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $304,281 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ NXT39c13,513$5,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,191.95,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Misa Esports33c8,468$2,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,823.7942854.9%235 W · 193 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Misa Esports60c6,508$3,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,904.9785358.3%497 W · 356 L+60.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked MOUZ NXT40c6,372$2,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,838.2453135%186 W · 345 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Misa Esports60c6,158$3,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,694.867951.4%349 W · 330 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Misa Esports31c5,100$1,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,570.830340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Misa Esports60c5,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00072046.1%332 W · 388 L-2.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed MOUZ NXT34c5,000$1,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,320.756640.9%27 W · 39 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed MOUZ NXT77c4,322$3,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.0119358%112 W · 81 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6840…6003backed Misa Esports36c4,066$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,466.68361.4%51 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Misa Esports61c4,000$2,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,44023848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb0…57e0backed Misa Esports62c3,807$2,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,365.136144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd00…952dbacked Misa Esports63c3,200$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,015.975867.2%39 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed MOUZ NXT41c2,979$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,763.691,65252.9%874 W · 778 L+60.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed MOUZ NXT40c2,632$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,569.462,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c03…522dbacked MOUZ NXT67c2,625$1,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.21711.8%2 W · 15 L-5.1wins-0.30per pick42cpaid-78.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked MOUZ NXT63c2,592$1,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.271,79059.2%1,060 W · 730 L+106.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Misa Esports59c2,510$1,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,486.4660248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed MOUZ NXT64c2,320$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.042,52743.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L+42.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed MOUZ NXT63c2,281$1,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.051,04153.1%553 W · 488 L+63.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a9a…a9c7backed Misa Esports36c2,270$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8209241.3%38 W · 54 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Misa Esports43c2,234$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.3366446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ NXT38c2,143$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.485,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986b…bdc6backed MOUZ NXT78c2,128$1,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.953290.6%29 W · 3 L+4.7wins+0.15per pick76cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Misa Esports60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001,08950.9%554 W · 535 L+38.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed MOUZ NXT39c1,974$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.9461055.9%341 W · 269 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed MOUZ NXT40c1,971$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.0747655%262 W · 214 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Misa Esports57c1,894$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.2517546.9%82 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Misa Esports40c1,787$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.071,43139%558 W · 873 L-41.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Misa Esports42c1,746$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.471,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x989e…6529backed Misa Esports24c1,666$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.7213040%52 W · 78 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Misa Esports32c1,549$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.142,66430.8%820 W · 1,844 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1186…0355backed Misa Esports52c1,514$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.4323356.2%131 W · 102 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Misa Esports36c1,501$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.521,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed MOUZ NXT38c1,400$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.2740341.7%168 W · 235 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Misa Esports6c1,318$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1110230.4%31 W · 71 L-10.3wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-45%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed MOUZ NXT46c1,278$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.591,64946.9%774 W · 875 L-28.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8373…7b8ebacked Misa Esports71c1,156$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.251030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-53.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed MOUZ NXT42c1,123$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.9246246.8%216 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Misa Esports39c1,109$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.6281744.7%365 W · 452 L-2.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f5…5e63backed Misa Esports3c1,067$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.835125.5%13 W · 38 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick18cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13c8…a814backed Misa Esports47c1,053$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009951.5%51 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3016…9ffdbacked Misa Esports2c1,050$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.96127.9%17 W · 44 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked MOUZ NXT75c1,032$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.5943253%229 W · 203 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed MOUZ NXT39c1,029$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.962,03053.7%1,091 W · 939 L+6.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41d1…bac0backed MOUZ NXT73c1,015$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.326250%31 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa514…9c8fbacked MOUZ NXT69c980.78$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.386258.1%36 W · 26 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked Misa Esports49c907.06$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.8228340.3%114 W · 169 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Misa Esports47c892.27$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.7872645.6%331 W · 395 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6e9…caedbacked MOUZ NXT47c859.57$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.572065%13 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Misa Esports62c799.99$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.998347%39 W · 44 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed MOUZ NXT74c761.18$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.432,36545.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L-58.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ad1…b4c5backed Misa Esports51c757.12$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.617751.9%40 W · 37 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60bd…2469backed Misa Esports1c750$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102412.5%3 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick8cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Misa Esports35c750$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.540542%170 W · 235 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42cd…2359backed Misa Esports56c714.61$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Misa Esports38c694.55$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.43,54429.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L-289.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Misa Esports21c692$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.4262137.7%234 W · 387 L-23.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Misa Esports61c686.17$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.362,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked MOUZ NXT53c657.56$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.633,94936.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L-201.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed MOUZ NXT59c643.85$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.691,59429.7%473 W · 1,121 L-88.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x61a8…519dbacked MOUZ NXT37c643.74$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.7414945%67 W · 82 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Misa Esports46c595.17$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.893,26745.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L-85.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0538…85c4backed Misa Esports53c594.4$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.782030%6 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xedcc…41a1backed MOUZ NXT56c578.61$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.0621953.4%117 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed Misa Esports53c554.31$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.1225553.3%136 W · 119 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Misa Esports37c552.01$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.115,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed MOUZ NXT40c502$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3025,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Misa Esports40c500.21$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.892,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Misa Esports60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010538.1%40 W · 65 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcfe6…4fadbacked Misa Esports61c499.99$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.993647.2%17 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed MOUZ NXT41c492.3$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.592,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0e4…dd38backed Misa Esports43c489.59$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.4143457.1%248 W · 186 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed Misa Esports61c458.92$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9465254.3%354 W · 298 L+25.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Misa Esports27c424.94$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.5556938.1%217 W · 352 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed MOUZ NXT40c424$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.4274754.6%408 W · 339 L+15.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe660…514fbacked Misa Esports34c417.07$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.7110138.6%39 W · 62 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-24.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb21b…88f9backed MOUZ NXT41c405.04$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.9748654.5%265 W · 221 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dab…4211backed MOUZ NXT79c400$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Misa Esports61c399.48$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.5912346.3%57 W · 66 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked MOUZ NXT59c377.83$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.924,75443.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4114…f750backed Misa Esports64c369.83$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.695639.3%22 W · 34 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed MOUZ NXT40c355$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2137647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked MOUZ NXT39c349.43$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.122645.1%102 W · 124 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3783…171dbacked Misa Esports58c347.27$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.4124962.2%155 W · 94 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed MOUZ NXT61c347.07$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.61,11054.2%602 W · 508 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0af3…9cb5backed MOUZ NXT39c346.38$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.775860.3%35 W · 23 L+8.6wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+25.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xab93…8479backed Misa Esports59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+57.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf177…5f6abacked MOUZ NXT56c329.49$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.312060%12 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed Misa Esports61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20034156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4c6…7457backed Misa Esports54c322.87$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.095556.4%31 W · 24 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Misa Esports62c320$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19869253.6%371 W · 321 L-23.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd1…864bbacked MOUZ NXT66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.032958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0978…0d99backed Misa Esports60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18010441.3%43 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24cc…0927backed Misa Esports34c296.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013653.7%73 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4cf…2224backed Misa Esports72c278.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.422567.1%151 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa839…8b66backed Misa Esports36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Misa Esports36c265.82$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.841,63243.2%705 W · 927 L-32.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e48…6158backed MOUZ NXT39c259.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.1838052.6%200 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Misa Esports41c257.12$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6931640.2%127 W · 189 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.