TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcfe6…4fad

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
399
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: MLB, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 63 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT19260.9%117 W · 75 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 192 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$168.12
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$274.99
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$398.99
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$439.99
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$119.99
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$124.88
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+190.9%+$749.21
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,821Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$901.08
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$689.99
LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$106.33
LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+198.5%+$1,329.99
LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+83.1%+$665.15
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,244Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,243.58
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,118Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,117.66
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,255Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,254.9
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,420Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,420
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$179.86
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$96.69
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$219.04
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.99
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$200
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$586Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$195.23
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,255Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,255.43
Showing 25 of 192 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT5062%31 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Insbacked TEC Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$156
Valorant: All Gamers vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Insbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,022Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$981.74
Valorant: All Gamers vs Trace Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Valorant: Wolves Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Insbacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,299.99
Valorant: Trace Esports vs A Team (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Insbacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$240
Valorant: Cloud9 vs KRÜ Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+90%+$209.48
Valorant: Team Envy vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.15
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+104%+$104.76
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$287.77
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Rex Regum Qeon - Map 2 Winnerbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$561.35
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$235
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+95.9%+$149.8
Valorant: VARREL vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked VARREL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,061Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,060.76
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.56
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$507Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$506.81
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$692Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$692.22
Valorant: Sentinels vs LOUD - Map 1 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.42
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs GIANTX - Map 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+89.3%+$111.56
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs GIANTX - Map 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$146.14
Valorant: TYLOO vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Decidersbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,173Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$852.91
Valorant: Team Secret vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,994Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$629.83
Valorant: Team Secret vs T1 - Map 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+35%+$68.82
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$58.2
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT4367.4%29 W · 14 L+7.8wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
MLB — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$608Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$992
Colorado Rockies vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$608Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$608.4
Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangersbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$480
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$450
Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankeesbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$828.57
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$601Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$1,068.79
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$630
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,055Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+93%+$980.58
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+110.5%+$1,105.5
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$532.08
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$888.89
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$504
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$159
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$322
Detroit Tigers vs. Athleticsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,490Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+77.7%+$1,157.88
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$114.04
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$725Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$725
New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$429.06
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT3959%23 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-7.5)backed Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$352
Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 161.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 169.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.99
Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 174.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Toronto Tempo vs. Portland Fire: O/U 187.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-15.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.54
Spread: Indiana Fever (-1.5)backed Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Spread: Chicago Sky (-2.5)backed Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$188
Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 166.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+85.6%+$184.47
Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5)backed Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$157.14
Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 183.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$192.16
Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 169.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 178.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 183.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+82.5%+$117.5
Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 183.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 165.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$103
Spread: Dallas Wings (-11.5)backed Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.23
Spread: Portland Fire (-1.5)backed Portland Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 193.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$106
Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)backed Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+95.3%+$122
Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 183.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 187.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+96.3%+$103
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-12.5)backed Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
Spread: Dallas Wings (-2.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 182.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT3647.2%17 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$180
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,116Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$684
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$570
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$120.56
Counter-Strike: NADE vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 11backed Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stagebacked UNiTY esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$274.99
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Misa Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Group Dbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.99
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group Dbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,810Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,810
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,695Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,695
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$101.07
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$252
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$414Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+60%+$248.68
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$590
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$718Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$258.13
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffsbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$228
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,113Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+89.3%+$994.39
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,449Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,449.49
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$368.27
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.83
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT2676.9%20 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.76
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$165
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$56
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Iron Wing - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - EPL Masters Group Abacked Ilbirs eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$192
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$559Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+96.7%+$540.7
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$222
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$56
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$165
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$192
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$60.45
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.95
Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$105.59
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$274
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$174
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$69.46
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Resilience (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.9
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$69
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winnerbacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$145
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$190
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winnerbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$215
Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$77.5
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+26.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$798Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$798.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-08-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.