Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x930d38b0a750ea5cc93650041de94586310525d26b336980338aa3005fd31b13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yakult Brothersof Yakult Brothers, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $758,065
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $952,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $758,065 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 321 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Rune Eaters | 46c | 103,688$47,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,900.47 | 381 | 45.7%174 W · 207 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Rune Eaters | 59c | 83,230$48,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,900 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Rune Eaters | 62c | 43,690$27,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,051.91 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Yakult Brothers | 38c | 30,000$11,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,580.94 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Yakult Brothers | 38c | 25,270$9,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,667.4 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Yakult Brothers | 51c | 21,075$10,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,418.62 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa05e…4394backed Rune Eaters | 61c | 20,952$12,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,739.67 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Rune Eaters | 62c | 20,852$12,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,899.37 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Yakult Brothers | 38c | 20,428$7,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,637.36 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…5610backed Rune Eaters | 63c | 19,570$12,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,334.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Yakult Brothers | 35c | 16,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,399.93 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Yakult Brothers | 37c | 15,090$5,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,436.59 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Yakult Brothers | 72c | 14,809$10,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,191 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Yakult Brothers | 61c | 12,041$7,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,734.1 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Yakult Brothers | 37c | 11,743$4,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,346.09 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Yakult Brothers | 40c | 11,717$4,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,069.16 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Yakult Brothers | 39c | 10,275$3,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,296.4 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Rune Eaters | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,300 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked Yakult Brothers | 69c | 9,878$6,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,043.55 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Yakult Brothers | 40c | 8,600$3,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,171.58 | 377 | 55.2%208 W · 169 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…e305backed Rune Eaters | 62c | 8,510$5,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,279.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7d…898ebacked Rune Eaters | 61c | 8,054$4,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,913.31 | 55 | 72.7%40 W · 15 L | +8.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Yakult Brothers | 37c | 7,572$2,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,757.58 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Yakult Brothers | 57c | 7,353$4,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,132 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Rune Eaters | 58c | 6,865$4,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,007.93 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed Yakult Brothers | 43c | 6,762$2,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,825.69 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Yakult Brothers | 66c | 6,500$4,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.26 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4850backed Rune Eaters | 59c | 6,455$3,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,788.7 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked Yakult Brothers | 62c | 6,107$3,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.59 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Yakult Brothers | 74c | 5,888$4,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.05 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed Yakult Brothers | 65c | 5,738$3,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.07 | 77 | 70.1%54 W · 23 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Rune Eaters | 40c | 5,575$2,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,245.81 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Yakult Brothers | 41c | 5,074$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,969.89 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde82…705dbacked Yakult Brothers | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Rune Eaters | 59c | 4,798$2,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,848.17 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Yakult Brothers | 79c | 4,708$3,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.39 | 186 | 60.8%113 W · 73 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26c6…b937backed Yakult Brothers | 36c | 4,050$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,592 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Yakult Brothers | 36c | 4,014$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,568.81 | 956 | 42.1%402 W · 554 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Yakult Brothers | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Yakult Brothers | 39c | 3,818$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,318.27 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Rune Eaters | 24c | 3,748$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.54 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Yakult Brothers | 66c | 3,655$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.96 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7014backed Yakult Brothers | 45c | 3,531$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.44 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Rune Eaters | 30c | 3,530$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.33 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…c5ebbacked Yakult Brothers | 56c | 3,312$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.48 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Rune Eaters | 35c | 3,263$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.28 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Yakult Brothers | 49c | 3,082$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.35 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Yakult Brothers | 50c | 3,004$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.75 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked Yakult Brothers | 71c | 2,944$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.87 | 123 | 63.4%78 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Yakult Brothers | 38c | 2,759$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.55 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabc3…f82dbacked Yakult Brothers | 72c | 2,500$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.96 | 53 | 73.6%39 W · 14 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Yakult Brothers | 45c | 2,400$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Yakult Brothers | 36c | 2,323$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.19 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed Yakult Brothers | 41c | 2,088$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.19 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Yakult Brothers | 41c | 2,057$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.17 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…f51abacked Rune Eaters | 2c | 2,027$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Yakult Brothers | 43c | 2,019$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.51 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…92b7backed Rune Eaters | 31c | 2,000$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked Yakult Brothers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed Yakult Brothers | 38c | 1,944$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.38 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed Yakult Brothers | 56c | 1,900$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.99 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc746…3943backed Yakult Brothers | 39c | 1,823$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.08 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Yakult Brothers | 36c | 1,819$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.97 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Yakult Brothers | 74c | 1,818$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.53 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Rune Eaters | 32c | 1,814$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d02…0ff3backed Yakult Brothers | 63c | 1,800$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.03 | 79 | 70.9%56 W · 23 L | +11.1wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Yakult Brothers | 60c | 1,789$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.19 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Yakult Brothers | 68c | 1,775$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.56 | 801 | 59.1%473 W · 328 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…90f3backed Yakult Brothers | 68c | 1,747$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.4 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…5e95backed Rune Eaters | 62c | 1,600$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab61…fb2bbacked Rune Eaters | 66c | 1,506$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Rune Eaters | 49c | 1,500$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.98 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Yakult Brothers | 40c | 1,487$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.25 | 190 | 31.6%60 W · 130 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked Yakult Brothers | 44c | 1,474$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.17 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Rune Eaters | 60c | 1,421$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.6 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Yakult Brothers | 39c | 1,400$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec47…a9c2backed Rune Eaters | 16c | 1,396$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.09 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…fe2cbacked Rune Eaters | 16c | 1,396$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.08 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed Rune Eaters | 18c | 1,303$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.19 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked Yakult Brothers | 39c | 1,278$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.3 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…0308backed Yakult Brothers | 50c | 1,277$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.5 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Yakult Brothers | 42c | 1,260$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.08 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Rune Eaters | 4c | 1,253$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.26 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffa…64e5backed Rune Eaters | 63c | 1,246$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Yakult Brothers | 44c | 1,230$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.2 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Rune Eaters | 32c | 1,164$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.95 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…f85bbacked Yakult Brothers | 42c | 1,156$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.23 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Yakult Brothers | 40c | 1,150$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Yakult Brothers | 67c | 1,144$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.54 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Yakult Brothers | 55c | 1,117$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.04 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Yakult Brothers | 67c | 1,057$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.3 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Yakult Brothers | 77c | 1,051$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.25 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a013backed Rune Eaters | 61c | 1,050$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.5 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6a…599abacked Yakult Brothers | 69c | 1,039$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.27 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1e…20aebacked Yakult Brothers | 79c | 1,016$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x451e…b13fbacked Rune Eaters | 64c | 1,007$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Yakult Brothers | 69c | 1,000$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.68 | 538 | 58.7%316 W · 222 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed Yakult Brothers | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Yakult Brothers | 77c | 1,000$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.54 | 921 | 56.5%520 W · 401 L | +78.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…87b5backed Yakult Brothers | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Games of the Future PlayoffsYakult Brothers won
- Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 WinnerRune Eaters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.