TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5a05…12a2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
536
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 58 out of 100; worst UFC at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT47650.8%242 W · 234 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 476 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked RE.Arise · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,355Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,355.19
Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winnerbacked PuckChamp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,086Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$1,952.72
Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Abacked PuckChamp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+245.2%+$947.73
Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked PuckChamp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,059.75
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10,882Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$4,522.73
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$6,270Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+188.1%+$11,795.69
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$985.18
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$7,335Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,335.4
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$4,483Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,483.38
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.42
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14,536Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+82.9%+$12,050.08
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$6,574Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$3,108.44
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11,185Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+41%+$4,591.33
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,144Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,143.51
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$787Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$430.66
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11,449Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$5,711.98
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$5,711Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$1,904.14
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14,365Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,365.17
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$5,415Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,415.38
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$6,528Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$4,877.53
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$7,397Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,397.19
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16,875Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,875.06
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$5,636Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,635.81
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,401Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+88.6%+$3,898.01
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$3,464Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,464.48
Showing 25 of 476 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT4936.7%18 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Chris Padilla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,426Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,316.74
UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Gillian Robertson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$560
UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Kauê Fernandes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Vicente Luque · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Marcin Tybura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.65
UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Duško Todorovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$895Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$895
UFC Fight Night: Ludovit Klein vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Ludovit Klein · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
UFC Fight Night: Borislav Nikolic vs. Mark Vologdin (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Mark Vologdin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Dennis Buzukja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Dricus Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,290Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$635.37
UFC Fight Night: Jared Cannonier vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Jared Cannonier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$579Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+62.8%+$363.54
UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Mitch Ramirez (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Chase Hooper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,010Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$318.95
UFC Fight Night: Tabatha Ricci vs. Fatima Kline (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Tabatha Ricci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,356Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,355.87
UFC Fight Night: Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Alberto Montes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
UFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Jose Miguel Delgado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,212Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+135.3%+$1,640.23
UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Seokhyeon Ko (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+253%+$379.56
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,065Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$382.82
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Benoît Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,906Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,906
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Cory Sandhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,640Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,640
UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Terrance McKinney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$928Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$928
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Nikita Krylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,788Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,787.99
UFC 329: Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Cody Garbrandt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
UFC 329: Wang Cong vs. Tracy Cortez (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Wang Cong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,783Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$1,502.25
UFC 329: Cesar Almeida vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Cesar Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$703Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$703
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick24cpaid+182.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+313.5%+$308.27
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.16
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+184.5%+$226.56
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.58
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+177.3%+$265.99
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Supernova (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Seasonbacked Supernova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+900%+$249.39
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.67
All 7 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.92
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.