UFC · resolved market
UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd03e553f3155d33f7a69c17d3cb5da7118e64728cd85168adc092da8af96c29a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jalin Turnerof Jalin Turner, Kauê Fernandes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,455,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,502,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,455,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 411 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Kauê Fernandes | 48c | 729,338$350,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350,082.11 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Jalin Turner | 52c | 403,571$209,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193,714.08 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Jalin Turner | 52c | 203,042$105,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,460.2 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Kauê Fernandes | 48c | 161,263$77,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,276.41 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3c…e7cbbacked Kauê Fernandes | 41c | 92,112$37,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,865.79 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Jalin Turner | 52c | 88,462$46,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,461.54 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x533c…2658backed Jalin Turner | 60c | 65,264$38,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,411.13 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jalin Turner | 52c | 52,538$27,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,218.07 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Jalin Turner | 51c | 42,761$21,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,766.13 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Kauê Fernandes | 40c | 36,144$14,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,464.57 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Jalin Turner | 52c | 34,048$17,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,203.38 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c9…396dbacked Jalin Turner | 59c | 31,459$18,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,012.9 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Jalin Turner | 51c | 27,519$14,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,408.16 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Jalin Turner | 50c | 25,000$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,500 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +134.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Jalin Turner | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e4…1cedbacked Jalin Turner | 59c | 20,000$11,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,200 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Jalin Turner | 51c | 19,400$9,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,410 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Jalin Turner | 52c | 18,888$9,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,066.24 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Jalin Turner | 52c | 12,333$6,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,919.84 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Kauê Fernandes | 47c | 10,377$4,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,877.36 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc6…9889backed Kauê Fernandes | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…db13backed Jalin Turner | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3148…0b55backed Kauê Fernandes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Jalin Turner | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.93 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Kauê Fernandes | 40c | 8,906$3,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,562.5 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Jalin Turner | 57c | 8,888$5,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,804.08 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4608…d049backed Kauê Fernandes | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc0…5765backed Jalin Turner | 53c | 7,939$4,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,731.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Kauê Fernandes | 50c | 7,500$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked Kauê Fernandes | 39c | 7,408$2,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,889.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b8…d5d1backed Kauê Fernandes | 49c | 6,317$3,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,095.33 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…fd91backed Jalin Turner | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Kauê Fernandes | 47c | 5,760$2,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,707.14 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Jalin Turner | 50c | 5,031$2,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,501.62 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Jalin Turner | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1518…2652backed Kauê Fernandes | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Jalin Turner | 50c | 4,830$2,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,404.79 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +31%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Jalin Turner | 64c | 4,808$3,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.96 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Jalin Turner | 56c | 4,500$2,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Kauê Fernandes | 47c | 4,262$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Kauê Fernandes | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.85 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Kauê Fernandes | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Kauê Fernandes | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Kauê Fernandes | 48c | 3,955$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.4 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -7.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8089…f935backed Kauê Fernandes | 46c | 3,500$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.99 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaef…2665backed Kauê Fernandes | 47c | 3,220$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Kauê Fernandes | 41c | 3,204$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Jalin Turner | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…ee14backed Jalin Turner | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Jalin Turner | 53c | 3,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…0386backed Jalin Turner | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Jalin Turner | 53c | 2,705$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.24 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Kauê Fernandes | 47c | 2,665$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.85 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…e151backed Jalin Turner | 53c | 2,435$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Jalin Turner | 52c | 2,215$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.2 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Kauê Fernandes | 46c | 2,173$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.58 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Kauê Fernandes | 33c | 2,000$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.37 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Jalin Turner | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…2e90backed Jalin Turner | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…a4a9backed Kauê Fernandes | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Jalin Turner | 51c | 1,962$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.54 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802c…6120backed Jalin Turner | 51c | 1,870$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Kauê Fernandes | 49c | 1,790$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Jalin Turner | 71c | 1,683$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.52 | 155 | 37.4%58 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Jalin Turner | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…7aa2backed Kauê Fernandes | 49c | 1,435$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…42e7backed Kauê Fernandes | 49c | 1,429$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7b…5aa5backed Jalin Turner | 51c | 1,370$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Kauê Fernandes | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Jalin Turner | 51c | 1,164$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…b591backed Kauê Fernandes | 44c | 1,129$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0f…3f10backed Jalin Turner | 53c | 1,038$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.74 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Jalin Turner | 58c | 1,029$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.61 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Kauê Fernandes | 40c | 1,022$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.11 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Jalin Turner | 51c | 1,021$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.28 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Kauê Fernandes | 2c | 1,015$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Jalin Turner | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Kauê Fernandes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Jalin Turner | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Jalin Turner | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Jalin Turner | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Kauê Fernandes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -44%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Kauê Fernandes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f9…5c3dbacked Jalin Turner | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…33efbacked Jalin Turner | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Jalin Turner | 54c | 899.99$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Kauê Fernandes | 3c | 898.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Kauê Fernandes | 49c | 834$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.66 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x656a…6077backed Kauê Fernandes | 46c | 810.95$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.04 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kauê Fernandes | 46c | 798.04$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.1 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8d…01debacked Jalin Turner | 51c | 764.71$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1b…65d7backed Jalin Turner | 59c | 748.69$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.69 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…2e27backed Kauê Fernandes | 41c | 729.99$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.3 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Jalin Turner | 60c | 640$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.32 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c62…d8d6backed Kauê Fernandes | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Jalin Turner | 50c | 620$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.98 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked Jalin Turner | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…9251backed Kauê Fernandes | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…4b00backed Jalin Turner | 52c | 576.9$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.91 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc562…41e0backed Jalin Turner | 52c | 557.69$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Jalin Turner win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will Kauê Fernandes win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.