TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0f8d…01de

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
226
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT6737.3%25 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$165.78
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$599Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$599.47
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$141
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$811.11
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+116.4%+$529.6
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial (BO5) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffsbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.99
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$334.79
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$638.93
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$234.55
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$463.8
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$297
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$439Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$581.35
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$243
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$363.99
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$288
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$298.96
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$151
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.8
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT4332.6%14 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$497.12
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$542Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$541.93
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+82.3%+$411.44
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$736Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$735.89
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,057Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,057.15
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.33
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.51
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,198Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,197.81
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$719Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$719.38
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,890Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,890.05
Hornets vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,628Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,628.45
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,166Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+91%+$1,061.19
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,070Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,069.94
Grizzlies vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,415Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,306.06
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,375Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$2,192.16
Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,213Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,212.5
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.68
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$435.21
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,019.98
Kings vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.77
Bucks vs. Rocketsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.24
Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$732Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$675.96
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$957Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$957.33
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT4129.3%12 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$867Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$1,541.78
LoL: LYON vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.44
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$668Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+116%+$774.78
LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$559.99
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$397.29
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,010Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,009.69
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.14
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$574Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$574
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.92
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.18
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.51
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$394.4
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$237
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.96
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$165.29
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.88
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$686Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$438.83
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,174Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$750.51
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.67
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$151
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.98
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick30cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.47
Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$294
Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$374.59
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$139
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$684Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$683.86
England vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$976Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$975.85
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,166Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$1,544.99
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,237.15
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$330.98
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$637.78
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$225.53
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$264.07
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$452Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$552.77
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
All 19 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,010.33
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$689Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$688.68
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.85
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$121
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$562Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$562.44
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.59
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$371
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$2,807Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,807.41
All 8 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,124
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,494Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,493.78
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$5,590Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,589.52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$2,043Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,043
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$844Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$844.09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$9,167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,166.74
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$7,032Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,031.65
All 8 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorantlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-50.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Sky vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 176.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,224Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,224.15
Toronto Tempo vs. Portland Fire: O/U 187.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.43
Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$183.73
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$323.01
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$416.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$419
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$335
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$374.19
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$488.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$832.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Jalin Turner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$374.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,081Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$998.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Austin FC vs. FC Dallas: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$464.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$462.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Africabacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$211
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.