Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe1aa4c49de44982867fe71e70d1fb92d17673ee379c4eadc1df385c3d996f0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Under | 65c | 34,002$22,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,021.46 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 35c | 22,500$7,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,625 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Over | 36c | 6,894$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,412.37 | 409 | 33.7%138 W · 271 L | -29.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Under | 63c | 3,582$2,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,256.59 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Under | 1c | 3,171$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +287.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 36c | 2,770$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.35 | 1,096 | 38.9%426 W · 670 L | -47.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8d…01debacked Over | 36c | 2,409$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.78 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 64c | 2,108$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.42 | 621 | 51.4%319 W · 302 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 65c | 1,944$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.56 | 541 | 34.8%188 W · 353 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 35c | 1,789$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.69 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 64c | 1,528$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.35 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed Over | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…b792backed Over | 36c | 1,282$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.67 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…8427backed Over | 37c | 1,227$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.2 | 179 | 47.5%85 W · 94 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 65c | 1,185$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.51 | 2,923 | 44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L | -91.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 66c | 1,144$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.54 | 1,379 | 37.7%520 W · 859 L | -43.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 35c | 1,102$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.91 | 2,497 | 39.9%996 W · 1,501 L | -75.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 445 | 38.2%170 W · 275 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed Over | 36c | 694.44$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.44 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…dc88backed Over | 50c | 645.17$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed Over | 36c | 607.41$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.74 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 64c | 503$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.92 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…2302backed Over | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +83%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 37c | 261.08$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.48 | 1,587 | 43.8%695 W · 892 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…9826backed Over | 37c | 259.46$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.46 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 35c | 211.46$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.45 | 972 | 54.3%528 W · 444 L | +46.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Under | 78c | 197.42$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.27 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…0f08backed Under | 64c | 163.42$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.59 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 64c | 131.72$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.3 | 272 | 57%155 W · 117 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Over | 21c | 102.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.06 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 35c | 97.55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.41 | 1,381 | 45.1%623 W · 758 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 64c | 83.2$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over | 22c | 75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c1…026dbacked Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1a…0db5backed Over | 31c | 45.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Under | 64c | 33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Over | 36c | 31.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 445 | 44.9%200 W · 245 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +12.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x842c…cc1ebacked Over | 37c | 29.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x124a…3741backed Under | 74c | 14.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 2?KT Rolster won
- Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
- Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)KT Rolster won
- LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupGen.G won
- LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 WinnerGen.G won
- LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 WinnerKT Rolster won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.