Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89ef088692545e47abdce4fedf268e9e35601d6e8706131d8e7551bf7c4e9934
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,157
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,157 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 46c | 3,078$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.74 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 55c | 2,747$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.25 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 52c | 1,683$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.84 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…fefbbacked Over | 47c | 1,068$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.16 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 56c | 986$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.89 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Over | 45c | 607$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.15 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed Under | 53c | 575$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.25 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed Over | 47c | 575$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.25 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Under | 53c | 520$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.4 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Over | 45c | 477.98$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.09 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Over | 43c | 375.51$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.47 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 45c | 324.02$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.81 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c9…b32cbacked Over | 44c | 290.7$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…3ca3backed Under | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 311 | 50.2%156 W · 155 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…b8f1backed Over | 46c | 160.15$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.21 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Over | 47c | 147.35$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.25 | 206 | 31.6%65 W · 141 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeca…a1b7backed Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Over | 46c | 95.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 447 | 45.2%202 W · 245 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Under | 54c | 93.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.01 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 45c | 75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf3…d220backed Under | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Over | 47c | 72.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 160 | 35%56 W · 104 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 53c | 68.63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 54c | 57.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Over | 46c | 43.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe567…f0cfbacked Under | 54c | 38.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 41c | 32.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Under | 59c | 32.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 840 | 41%344 W · 496 L | -38.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…5badbacked Under | 65c | 30.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5141…7346backed Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e89…bb29backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 140 | 54.3%76 W · 64 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea9…9248backed Under | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?this page
- First Blood in Game 2?KT Rolster won
- Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
- Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)KT Rolster won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupGen.G won
- LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 WinnerGen.G won
- LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 WinnerKT Rolster won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.