TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5141…7346

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JavierLoL Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+166.9%+$37.52
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.5
Will DN SOOPers Win KeSPA Cup 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+140.9%+$51.97
Will Nongshim RedForce Win KeSPA Cup 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.8
Will T1 Win KeSPA Cup 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.65
Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs LNG Esports (+1.5)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$17.4
Game Handicap: SU (-1.5) vs Shark Attack (+1.5)backed SU Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$10.05
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+91.4%+$19.1
Will Dplus Kia win the EWC League of Legends Tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.45
Will Karmine Corp win the EWC League of Legends Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.82
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+79.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rodri win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.94
Will Jude Bellingham win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.97
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+162.5%+$70.06
Will Pau Cubarsí win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+274.6%+$78.85
Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+297.3%+$48.87
Will 9+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.25
Will England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$6.28
Will Erling Haaland score 8+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+134%+$13.62
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+281.2%+$107.47
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+54.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs Leo Team (+1.5)backed Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.1
Will Team Vitality Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.21
Will Team Falcons make CS2 EWC Grand finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.04
Will Liquid Win the Stake Pulse Beat 1 tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.62
Map Handicap: MZP (-1.5) vs Johnny Speeds (+1.5)backed Metizport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$24.4
Will MOUZ Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+356.4%+$190.71
Will There be 4-6 Knife Kills at Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Map Handicap: STA (-1.5) vs Fortress (+1.5)backed STATE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$12.75
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Keyd (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$9.7
All 9 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-67.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.24per pick38cpaid-74%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+65.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chesslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-62.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+162.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Yandex Win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.12
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$16.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+92.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-27.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cameron Brink: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$9.27
Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.04
Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Greg Mueller Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be >7 minutes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.