Lol · resolved market
Will Karmine Corp win the EWC League of Legends Tournament
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0aee4f9e706612a8a98e4e2f5cec1d1a739b2666ffac3258516277fe10c4ecc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked No | 70c | 25,000$17,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,624.98 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Yes | 7c | 11,173$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.42 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Yes | 30c | 10,271$3,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,116.28 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 31c | 10,208$3,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,113.29 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac7…8a43backed Yes | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 181 | 32.6%59 W · 122 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 1c | 3,374$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae27…6fb2backed Yes | 6c | 2,104$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 2c | 2,014$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 28c | 1,983$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.67 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 23c | 1,911$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.41 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…1224backed Yes | 2c | 1,897$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa022…72c2backed Yes | 1c | 1,529$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +205.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…8266backed Yes | 5c | 1,415$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.43 | 151 | 35.1%53 W · 98 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 4c | 1,326$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8200…be0fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,122$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 4c | 1,052$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +154%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Yes | 27c | 999.99$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6392…52ddbacked Yes | 3c | 854.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 420 | 49.3%207 W · 213 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a31cbacked No | 70c | 811.45$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.44 | 207 | 39.6%82 W · 125 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x892f…a6b0backed Yes | 25c | 797.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed Yes | 4c | 773.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Yes | 23c | 735.41$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.31 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed Yes | 11c | 652.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 193 | 40.4%78 W · 115 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Yes | 6c | 616.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…c770backed Yes | 3c | 527.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf5…e344backed Yes | 5c | 417.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea4…9d9abacked Yes | 6c | 400$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844a…f6d7backed Yes | 31c | 325.68$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.73 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +47%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dad…ee77backed Yes | 31c | 324.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…cc17backed Yes | 7c | 315.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b83…b2e8backed Yes | 5c | 220.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1330…b4b5backed Yes | 6c | 211.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Yes | 27c | 210.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.91 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…3db0backed Yes | 21c | 210$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.76 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a53…602bbacked Yes | 32c | 204.35$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9f…0c25backed Yes | 21c | 199.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5745…fa76backed Yes | 8c | 161.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a65…d80fbacked Yes | 32c | 154.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked Yes | 27c | 151.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec4…cfc8backed Yes | 22c | 144.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Yes | 18c | 138.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +137.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…2afabacked Yes | 25c | 133.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 307 | 34.5%106 W · 201 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2628…39cfbacked No | 69c | 124.84$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3570…35ddbacked Yes | 34c | 104.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e61…7bf6backed Yes | 34c | 103.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…b779backed Yes | 30c | 100.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c4…8129backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8a…2953backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 79c | 86.68$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f49…55ccbacked Yes | 30c | 83.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 70c | 81.89$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4acabacked Yes | 27c | 74.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5141…7346backed Yes | 27c | 66.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfad6…6d92backed Yes | 30c | 59.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…cd1ebacked Yes | 34c | 58.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 791 | 56.1%444 W · 347 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…82ecbacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c0…061fbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7f…fa5ebacked Yes | 31c | 36.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…9de3backed No | 71c | 34.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5181…504bbacked No | 71c | 34.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 33c | 32.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 73c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e89…bb29backed Yes | 33c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 140 | 54.3%76 W · 64 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…ea5cbacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 70c | 26.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…d874backed No | 80c | 21.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38f…bf78backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 79c | 15.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb857…63ddbacked No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Karmine Corp win the EWC League of Legends Tournamentthis page
- Will AG.AL win the EWC League of Legends TournamentNo won
- Will Bilibili Gaming win the EWC League of Legends TournamentNo won
- Will Dplus Kia win the EWC League of Legends TournamentYes won
- Will G2 Esports win the EWC League of Legends TournamentNo won
- Will Gen.G win the EWC League of Legends TournamentNo won
- Will Hanwha Life Esports win the EWC League of Legends TournamentNo won
- Will JD Gaming win the EWC League of Legends TournamentNo won
- Will LYON win the EWC League of Legends TournamentNo won
- Will T1 win the EWC League of Legends TournamentNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.