TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7d9f…0c25

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
315
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Lol, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 60 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT28353%150 W · 133 L+28.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+32.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Lol — the 283 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DOCISK vs Forsaken (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Seasonbacked DOCISK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$72
LoL: DOCISK vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winnerbacked Forsaken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
LoL: MAGAZA vs Lenovo Legion Honvéd - Game 1 Winnerbacked MAGAZA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.07
LoL: Baam Esports vs GnG Amazigh - Game 1 Winnerbacked Baam Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$62.08
LoL: PCIFIC vs SU Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked PCIFIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
LoL: eSuba vs BRUTE (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Seasonbacked eSuba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
LoL: eSuba vs BRUTE - Game 1 Winnerbacked eSuba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+110.5%+$42
LoL: PCIFIC vs SU Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked PCIFIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
LoL: Lodis vs devils.one - Game 1 Winnerbacked devils.one · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
LoL: Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports vs Spartans EU - Game 1 Winnerbacked Spartans EU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+203%+$67
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 4 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+174.2%+$95.3
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 3 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+174%+$127
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.6
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+203%+$67
Game Handicap: FUE (-2.5) vs Zeu5 Esports (+2.5)backed Fuego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Game Handicap: FUE (-1.5) vs Zeu5 Esports (+1.5)backed Fuego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.84
LoL: Fuego vs Zeu5 Esports (BO5) - LRN Playoffsbacked Zeu5 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$68
LoL: Fuego vs Zeu5 Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Fuego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.9
LoL: Fuego vs Zeu5 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Zeu5 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$69
LoL: Fuego vs Zeu5 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fuego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$14.28
LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked INTZ e-Sports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Game Handicap: ITZ (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (+1.5)backed INTZ e-Sports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vivo Keyd Stars Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+115.4%+$93.1
LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked INTZ e-Sports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.5
Showing 25 of 283 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.8
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.7
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.2
Will France finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+206.9%+$80.9
Exact Score: England 0 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+223.6%+$44.72
France vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Norway vs. England: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.69
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$275.8
All 21 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mjallby AIF win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nakashima vs. Medvedev: Match O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
AIlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.