Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x574897029f416bf4b0a30b51b2ffcc512f2d5f940557913189cff2205f27c08d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $160,044
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 56c | 22,039$12,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600.67 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…0b39backed Yes | 63c | 13,686$8,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,072.66 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 30c | 10,624$3,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,153.09 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked No | 46c | 9,566$4,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,383.46 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 38c | 5,835$2,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,237.32 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed No | 57c | 3,989$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,274.7 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f1…a19ebacked No | 52c | 3,775$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Yes | 46c | 3,412$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.68 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 49c | 2,700$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.8 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Yes | 59c | 2,686$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.87 | 305 | 34.8%106 W · 199 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 71c | 2,442$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.34 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed No | 46c | 2,366$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.47 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked Yes | 79c | 2,129$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.73 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Yes | 39c | 1,784$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed Yes | 65c | 1,598$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ad…0724backed No | 21c | 1,592$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.65 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 20cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf9…cffdbacked No | 54c | 1,575$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.54 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -56%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcc…12a6backed No | 53c | 1,532$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.6 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fc…0109backed Yes | 50c | 1,530$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.59 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked Yes | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 47c | 1,409$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.36 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +348.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff3…8c08backed No | 47c | 1,406$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.98 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…d8d6backed No | 23c | 1,375$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…384ebacked No | 47c | 1,328$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.75 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…4d55backed Yes | 79c | 1,174$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.21 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed No | 12c | 1,160$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.39 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e4…4d33backed Yes | 62c | 1,134$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7afebacked No | 34c | 1,050$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Yes | 72c | 1,016$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.48 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x492f…8144backed No | 50c | 1,009$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f3…844ebacked No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 307 | 38.8%119 W · 188 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 48c | 999.96$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.98 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 61c | 988$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.3 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 47c | 985.58$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.67 | 140 | 31.4%44 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x403f…94f1backed Yes | 65c | 966.98$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.58 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked No | 17c | 938.81$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.12 | 93 | 17.2%16 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 63c | 904.26$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.62 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd324…b23cbacked No | 47c | 873.15$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.67 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaff…688cbacked Yes | 71c | 846.45$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes | 57c | 810$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.3 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…2f81backed No | 34c | 800$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 25c | 785.08$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.32 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb141…aa3bbacked No | 53c | 774.03$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.3 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked No | 18c | 733.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.66 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fb…9713backed Yes | 64c | 724.26$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.82 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 27c | 723.07$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.09 | 128 | 29.7%38 W · 90 L | -15.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed No | 30c | 694.9$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.36 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b8…8cf5backed No | 9c | 674.29$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8251…879dbacked No | 45c | 626.05$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.31 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…f395backed No | 5c | 625$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 82 | 4.9%4 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -68%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9849…2ee5backed No | 12c | 595.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e7…8821backed No | 36c | 551.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a38…d6abbacked No | 25c | 500$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 40c | 484.61$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.61 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -18.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +7.7wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b6…eda1backed No | 44c | 450$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1330…b4b5backed No | 53c | 398.28$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4656…41d7backed No | 43c | 392.51$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.87 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed No | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…5b73backed Yes | 41c | 375.91$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.91 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…1402backed No | 24c | 363.75$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.3 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…2251backed No | 56c | 359.28$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…49a3backed Yes | 79c | 350$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe86b…9371backed No | 61c | 340.44$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.67 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 44c | 317.88$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.93 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…e1d1backed No | 55c | 306.76$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.58 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab75…738fbacked No | 41c | 301$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.42 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a86…f8e8backed Yes | 66c | 300$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e2…06f4backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab93…f0bbbacked Yes | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e08…6aa2backed No | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ff…3c75backed No | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed No | 33c | 299.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.3 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed No | 42c | 282.55$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.55 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…6770backed Yes | 79c | 278.73$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.53 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…d92dbacked No | 45c | 268.25$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.32 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e15…a0eebacked No | 59c | 252.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d82…a5e9backed No | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 28c | 229.38$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.73 | 233 | 23.6%55 W · 178 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…e169backed No | 39c | 222.19$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.89 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be4…8477backed Yes | 48c | 220$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d94…eb52backed Yes | 63c | 220$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 39cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…8eefbacked Yes | 67c | 214.97$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.28 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x586f…b928backed No | 25c | 209.22$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d3…1a2abacked Yes | 56c | 207.89$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef0…4806backed No | 58c | 205.76$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…f7ddbacked No | 39c | 205.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…7fdfbacked No | 23c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb23b…503fbacked Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91c5…c7bbbacked No | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a9…d211backed No | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d0…5542backed Yes | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a6…8b32backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9f…0c25backed No | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…eba3backed No | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 50c | 199.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5154…a301backed No | 32c | 199.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.71 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +13.2wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…7346backed Yes | 70c | 198.18$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $70 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.